BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Shannon Gugerty vs.
Spencer Fisher

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-3-0 Shannon Gugerty · UFC
9-8-0 Spencer Fisher · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-3-0
UFC record
9-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44
AgeΔ 6 yrs
50
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
71"
ReachΔ 3"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
196.5
Layoff (months)Δ 27.1 mo
169.4
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Shannon Gugerty is a submission threat — 3.41 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Shannon Gugerty owns the mat — in control 33% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Spencer Fisher is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Shannon Gugerty

Full career not yet synced for Shannon Gugerty — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Spencer Fisher

Full career not yet synced for Spencer Fisher — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

441.25/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
6373.17/min · norm 3.42
661.88/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6093.03/min · norm 3.37
39.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
43.5%norm 43.5%
58.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
64.1%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.22/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Shannon Gugerty

Distance 77.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 14.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.0%)

Spencer Fisher

Distance 76.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 16.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.9% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Shannon Gugerty

Head 62.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 22.3% (norm 7.9%)

Spencer Fisher

Head 71.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gugerty L/AAccLightweight med Fisher L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 28 / 87 32.2% 37.9% 404 / 1122 36.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 10 / 16 too few to rate 67.3% 172 / 241 71.4% 67.3%
On the ground 6 / 9 too few to rate 69.1% 61 / 101 60.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 14 / 70 20.0% 35.0% 305 / 1049 29.1% 35.0%
To the body 11 / 17 too few to rate 69.1% 203 / 262 77.5% 69.1%
To the legs 19 / 25 76.0% 81.9% 129 / 153 84.3% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gugerty L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Fisher L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 28 / 104 26.9% 38.9% 377 / 1301 29.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 24 / 32 75.0% 68.6% 111 / 151 73.5% 68.6%
On the ground 14 / 22 too few to rate 68.0% 121 / 246 49.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 27 / 107 25.2% 35.1% 343 / 1324 25.9% 35.1%
To the body 13 / 19 too few to rate 68.1% 146 / 228 64.0% 68.1%
To the legs 26 / 32 81.2% 81.5% 120 / 146 82.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

527.8% acc · 2.13/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
930.0% acc · 0.67/15 · norm 1.38
250.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
5860.4% def · norm 64.0%
11:3533.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
25:1312.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
11:294:54 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
74:105:32 per 15 · norm 2:46
83.41/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
100.75/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Fisher has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.