BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Shane Carwin vs.
Christian Wellisch

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-2-0 Shane Carwin · UFC
2-3-0 Christian Wellisch · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-2-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
51.6
AgeΔ 0.7 yrs
50.9
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
80"
ReachΔ 3"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
181.8
Layoff (months)Δ 28.3 mo
210.1
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Christian Wellisch is a submission threat — 1.22 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Shane Carwin carries real power — 2.03 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Christian Wellisch carries real power — 0.41 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Shane Carwin

Full career not yet synced for Shane Carwin — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Christian Wellisch

Full career not yet synced for Christian Wellisch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1314.44/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1153.12/min · norm 3.36
1103.73/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1123.04/min · norm 3.19
46.6%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
27.9%norm 47.8%
54.2%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
56.1%norm 52.5%
42.03/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.41/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Shane Carwin

Distance 45.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 19.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 34.9% (norm 9.3%)

Christian Wellisch

Distance 83.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Shane Carwin

Head 91.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 1.4% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 7.6%)

Christian Wellisch

Head 91.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 2.9% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Carwin L/AAccHeavyweight med Wellisch L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 29 / 128 22.7% 40.1% 83 / 345 24.1% 40.1%
In the clinch 41 / 55 74.5% 70.6% 24 / 45 53.3% 70.6%
On the ground 61 / 98 62.2% 70.2% 8 / 22 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 107 / 256 41.8% 38.9% 89 / 377 23.6% 38.9%
To the body 4 / 4 too few to rate 76.8% 8 / 12 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 20 / 21 too few to rate 87.8% 18 / 23 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Carwin L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Wellisch L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 77 / 194 39.7% 40.7% 53 / 166 31.9% 40.7%
In the clinch 8 / 10 too few to rate 70.6% 47 / 70 67.1% 70.6%
On the ground 25 / 36 69.4% 72.0% 12 / 19 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 88 / 210 41.9% 38.8% 90 / 229 39.3% 38.8%
To the body 16 / 24 too few to rate 75.1% 7 / 11 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 6 / 6 too few to rate 84.4% 15 / 15 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

228.6% acc · 1.02/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
342.9% acc · 1.22/15 · norm 0.95
342.9% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1045.5% def · norm 64.3%
7:1724.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
4:3312.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
3:481:55 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
12:064:55 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
31.22/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Carwin has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.