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Seth Baczynski vs. Thiago Alves

UFC 5-6-0 vs. 15-12-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-6-0
UFC record
15-12-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44
AgeΔ 1 yrs
43
6'3"
HeightΔ 6"
5'9"
75"
ReachΔ 5"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
138.3
Layoff (months)Δ 55.9 mo
82.4
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Thiago Alves carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Seth Baczynski is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Thiago Alves rarely shoots — 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Seth Baczynski

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 1711

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.19 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 40 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Thiago Alves

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1412
Tier 3 — regional circuit 93

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3103.08/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
11063.73/min · norm 3.17
3163.14/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
10153.42/min · norm 3.08
31.6%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
41.8%norm 44.75%
51.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 55.25%
20.30/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
130.66/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Seth Baczynski

Distance 82.3% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 6.7% (norm 8.1%)

Thiago Alves

Distance 84.1% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Seth Baczynski

Head 82.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 8.0%)

Thiago Alves

Head 73.8% (norm 78.3%) · Body 7.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 18.7% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Baczynski L/AAccWelterweight med Alves L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 808 25.9% 38.5% 867 / 2227 38.9% 38.5%
In the clinch 65 / 108 60.2% 67.8% 126 / 208 60.6% 67.8%
On the ground 36 / 66 54.5% 67.0% 113 / 213 53.1% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 206 / 814 25.3% 36.4% 569 / 1953 29.1% 36.4%
To the body 70 / 121 57.9% 70.7% 150 / 200 75.0% 70.7%
To the legs 34 / 47 72.3% 83.0% 387 / 495 78.2% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Baczynski L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Alves L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 495 42.2% 39.1% 731 / 2283 32.0% 39.1%
In the clinch 67 / 94 71.3% 68.9% 159 / 251 63.3% 68.9%
On the ground 40 / 61 65.6% 68.0% 125 / 174 71.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 150 / 455 33.0% 35.6% 649 / 2203 29.5% 35.6%
To the body 81 / 93 87.1% 69.6% 218 / 312 69.9% 69.6%
To the legs 85 / 102 83.3% 82.2% 148 / 193 76.7% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
616.7% acc · 0.89/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
1460.9% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.31
1548.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
7763.1% def · norm 63.9%
21:1321.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
30:5610.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
33:264:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
76:113:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.75/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
60.30/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alves has more cage time on record.