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Seth Baczynski vs. Matt Brown

UFC 5-6-0 vs. 17-13-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-6-0
UFC record
17-13-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44
AgeΔ 1 yrs
45
6'3"
HeightΔ 3"
6'0"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
138.3
Layoff (months)Δ 97 mo
41.3
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Matt Brown is a submission threat — 1.30 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Seth Baczynski is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Matt Brown carries real power — 0.60 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Seth Baczynski

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 1711

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.19 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 40 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Matt Brown

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1713
Tier 3 — regional circuit 76

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.73 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 43 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3103.08/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
10393.76/min · norm 3.17
3163.14/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
8082.92/min · norm 3.08
31.6%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
55.4%norm 44.75%
51.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.1%norm 55.25%
20.30/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
110.60/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Seth Baczynski

Distance 82.3% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 6.7% (norm 8.1%)

Matt Brown

Distance 69.4% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 17.9% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Seth Baczynski

Head 82.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 8.0%)

Matt Brown

Head 72.4% (norm 78.3%) · Body 20.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Baczynski L/AAccWelterweight med Brown L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 808 25.9% 38.5% 586 / 1301 45.0% 38.5%
In the clinch 65 / 108 60.2% 67.8% 276 / 336 82.1% 67.8%
On the ground 36 / 66 54.5% 67.0% 177 / 237 74.7% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 206 / 814 25.3% 36.4% 631 / 1356 46.5% 36.4%
To the body 70 / 121 57.9% 70.7% 310 / 383 80.9% 70.7%
To the legs 34 / 47 72.3% 83.0% 98 / 135 72.6% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Baczynski L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Brown L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 495 42.2% 39.1% 564 / 1438 39.2% 39.1%
In the clinch 67 / 94 71.3% 68.9% 108 / 173 62.4% 68.9%
On the ground 40 / 61 65.6% 68.0% 136 / 189 72.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 150 / 455 33.0% 35.6% 564 / 1471 38.3% 35.6%
To the body 81 / 93 87.1% 69.6% 123 / 182 67.6% 69.6%
To the legs 85 / 102 83.3% 82.2% 121 / 147 82.3% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
616.7% acc · 0.89/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
3147.0% acc · 1.68/15 · norm 1.31
1548.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
7663.9% def · norm 63.9%
21:1321.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
59:1821.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
33:264:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
93:515:05 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.75/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
241.30/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Brown has more cage time on record.