BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Seth Baczynski vs.
Leon Edwards

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-6-0 Seth Baczynski · UFC
14-5-0 (1 NC) Leon Edwards · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-6-0
UFC record
14-5-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44.8
AgeΔ 9.9 yrs
34.9
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
135.8
Layoff (months)Δ 127.1 mo
8.7
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Seth Baczynski is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Seth Baczynski is wasteful with strikes at range — only 26% land, vs a 39% Welterweight norm.
Leon Edwards is accurate with strikes at range — lands 49%, vs a 39% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Seth Baczynski

Full career not yet synced for Seth Baczynski — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Leon Edwards

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 145
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.33 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3103.08/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
8732.60/min · norm 3.17
3163.14/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
8192.44/min · norm 3.06
31.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
54.4%norm 44.9%
51.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.8%norm 55.25%
20.30/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.22/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Seth Baczynski

Distance 82.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.7% (norm 8.1%)

Leon Edwards

Distance 83.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Seth Baczynski

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 8.4%)

Leon Edwards

Head 71.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Baczynski L/AAccWelterweight med Edwards L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 808 25.9% 38.6% 662 / 1345 49.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 65 / 108 60.2% 67.8% 119 / 143 83.2% 67.8%
On the ground 36 / 66 54.5% 67.2% 92 / 118 78.0% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 206 / 814 25.3% 37.2% 490 / 1145 42.8% 37.2%
To the body 70 / 121 57.9% 70.7% 206 / 266 77.4% 70.7%
To the legs 34 / 47 72.3% 82.9% 177 / 195 90.8% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Baczynski L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Edwards L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 209 / 495 42.2% 39.0% 594 / 1434 41.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 67 / 94 71.3% 68.9% 118 / 156 75.6% 68.9%
On the ground 40 / 61 65.6% 68.0% 107 / 144 74.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 150 / 455 33.0% 35.6% 503 / 1295 38.8% 35.6%
To the body 81 / 93 87.1% 69.6% 192 / 261 73.6% 69.6%
To the legs 85 / 102 83.3% 82.1% 124 / 178 69.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

616.7% acc · 0.89/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2837.3% acc · 1.25/15 · norm 1.27
1548.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
7963.7% def · norm 63.9%
21:1321.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
70:2621.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
33:264:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
89:133:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.75/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
80.36/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Edwards has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.