BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sergio Pettis vs.
Alex Caceres

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-5-0 Sergio Pettis · UFC
16-13-0 (1 NC) Alex Caceres · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-5-0
UFC record
16-13-0 (1 NC)
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
33
AgeΔ 5.1 yrs
38.1
5'6"
HeightΔ 4"
5'10"
69"
ReachΔ 4"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
82.5
Layoff (months)Δ 55.7 mo
26.8
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alex Caceres rarely shoots — 0.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Alex Caceres is a submission threat — 0.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Sergio Pettis rarely shoots — 0.85 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sergio Pettis

Full career not yet synced for Sergio Pettis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Alex Caceres

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1613
Tier 3 — regional circuit 52

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.78 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8193.88/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
15194.21/min · norm 3.54
6152.91/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
11153.09/min · norm 3.47
37.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
50.0%norm 45.0%
65.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
62.8%norm 54.85%
10.07/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
50.21/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sergio Pettis

Distance 93.2% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 7.3%)

Alex Caceres

Distance 90.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.1% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sergio Pettis

Head 88.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 6.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 9.3%)

Alex Caceres

Head 75.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pettis L/AAccFlyweight med Caceres L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 730 / 2039 35.8% 40.0% 1306 / 2737 47.7% 40.9%
In the clinch 42 / 59 71.2% 70.4% 128 / 177 72.3% 70.8%
On the ground 47 / 90 52.2% 69.7% 85 / 126 67.5% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 645 / 1935 33.3% 37.6% 950 / 2289 41.5% 37.2%
To the body 82 / 147 55.8% 68.5% 381 / 521 73.1% 68.2%
To the legs 92 / 106 86.8% 80.0% 188 / 230 81.7% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pettis L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Caceres L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 517 / 1610 32.1% 40.1% 957 / 2752 34.8% 39.2%
In the clinch 35 / 56 62.5% 68.8% 70 / 105 66.7% 70.3%
On the ground 63 / 113 55.8% 71.1% 88 / 144 61.1% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 383 / 1433 26.7% 35.2% 633 / 2305 27.5% 35.9%
To the body 144 / 231 62.3% 68.2% 210 / 358 58.7% 67.9%
To the legs 88 / 115 76.5% 80.3% 272 / 338 80.5% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1240.0% acc · 0.85/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
1368.4% acc · 0.54/15 · norm 1.19
5067.6% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
8564.9% def · norm 61.5%
18:118.6% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
44:1012.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
56:424:01 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
76:363:11 per 15 · norm 3:12
50.36/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
160.67/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Caceres has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.