BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sergio Moraes vs.
Zak Ottow

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-5-1 Sergio Moraes · UFC
4-4-0 Zak Ottow · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-5-1
UFC record
4-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44
AgeΔ 4.4 yrs
39.6
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
72"
ReachΔ 0"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
80.7
Layoff (months)Δ 8.2 mo
88.9
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Zak Ottow is wasteful with body shots — only 50% land, vs a 71% Welterweight norm.
Sergio Moraes is wasteful with clinch strikes — only 48% land, vs a 68% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sergio Moraes

Full career not yet synced for Sergio Moraes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Zak Ottow

Full career not yet synced for Zak Ottow — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4232.42/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2032.63/min · norm 3.17
6523.73/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2112.73/min · norm 3.06
42.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
36.8%norm 44.9%
60.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
58.6%norm 55.25%
10.09/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.39/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sergio Moraes

Distance 93.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 8.1%)

Zak Ottow

Distance 90.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sergio Moraes

Head 85.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zak Ottow

Head 76.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Moraes L/AAccWelterweight med Ottow L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 385 / 932 41.3% 38.6% 174 / 501 34.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 12 / 25 48.0% 67.8% 7 / 11 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 26 / 36 72.2% 67.2% 22 / 39 56.4% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 324 / 848 38.2% 37.2% 118 / 419 28.2% 37.2%
To the body 73 / 114 64.0% 70.7% 40 / 80 50.0% 70.7%
To the legs 26 / 31 83.9% 82.9% 45 / 52 86.5% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Moraes L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Ottow L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 609 / 1563 39.0% 39.0% 144 / 415 34.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 17 / 22 too few to rate 68.9% 24 / 28 85.7% 68.9%
On the ground 26 / 44 59.1% 68.0% 43 / 67 64.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 413 / 1291 32.0% 35.6% 123 / 384 32.0% 35.6%
To the body 108 / 176 61.4% 69.6% 33 / 57 57.9% 69.6%
To the legs 131 / 162 80.9% 82.1% 55 / 69 79.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1438.9% acc · 1.20/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
529.4% acc · 0.97/15 · norm 1.27
375.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
857.1% def · norm 63.9%
29:5317.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
11:0214.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
10:360:54 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
14:572:54 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.43/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
20.39/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moraes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.