BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sergio Moraes vs.
Renee Forte

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-5-1 Sergio Moraes · UFC
1-3-0 Renee Forte · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-5-1
UFC record
1-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
39.4
6'0"
HeightΔ 5"
5'7"
72"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
80.7
Layoff (months)Δ 68 mo
148.7
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Renee Forte owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Renee Forte hunts takedowns — 2.32 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Sergio Moraes is wasteful with clinch strikes — only 48% land, vs a 68% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sergio Moraes

Full career not yet synced for Sergio Moraes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Renee Forte

Full career not yet synced for Renee Forte — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4232.42/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
942.08/min · norm 3.42
6523.73/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
962.12/min · norm 3.37
42.6%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
32.2%norm 43.5%
60.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
63.4%norm 56.3%
10.09/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.33/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sergio Moraes

Distance 93.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.6% (norm 8.1%)

Renee Forte

Distance 69.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 17.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sergio Moraes

Head 85.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.1% (norm 8.4%)

Renee Forte

Head 83.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Moraes L/AAccWelterweight med Forte L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 385 / 932 41.3% 38.6% 48 / 203 23.6% 37.9%
In the clinch 12 / 25 48.0% 67.8% 21 / 38 55.3% 67.3%
On the ground 26 / 36 72.2% 67.2% 25 / 51 49.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 324 / 848 38.2% 37.2% 64 / 243 26.3% 35.0%
To the body 73 / 114 64.0% 70.7% 17 / 33 51.5% 69.1%
To the legs 26 / 31 83.9% 82.9% 13 / 16 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Moraes L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Forte L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 609 / 1563 39.0% 39.0% 61 / 206 29.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 17 / 22 too few to rate 68.9% 21 / 32 65.6% 68.6%
On the ground 26 / 44 59.1% 68.0% 14 / 24 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 413 / 1291 32.0% 35.6% 58 / 189 30.7% 35.1%
To the body 108 / 176 61.4% 69.6% 18 / 37 48.6% 68.1%
To the legs 131 / 162 80.9% 82.1% 20 / 36 55.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1438.9% acc · 1.20/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
758.3% acc · 2.32/15 · norm 1.38
375.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1266.7% def · norm 64.0%
29:5317.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
16:1536.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
10:360:54 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
7:152:24 per 15 · norm 2:46
50.43/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moraes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.