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Serghei Spivac vs. Greg Hardy

UFC 9-7-0 vs. 4-5-0 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
9-7-0
UFC record
4-5-0 (1 NC)
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
31
AgeΔ 7 yrs
38
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'5"
78"
ReachΔ 2"
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1.9
Layoff (months)Δ 53.6 mo
55.5
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Serghei Spivac hunts takedowns — 3.42 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.90 Heavyweight norm.
Serghei Spivac is a submission threat — 0.43 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Greg Hardy rarely shoots — 0.20 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.90 Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Serghei Spivac

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 96
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Greg Hardy

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 65
Tier 3 — regional circuit 31

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.82 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4713.35/min · norm 3.28
Sig. strikes landed
3434.60/min · norm 3.28
5954.23/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2453.29/min · norm 3.19
46.9%norm 47.5%
Striking accuracy
49.9%norm 47.5%
50.9%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
55.1%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.20/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Serghei Spivac

Distance 77.0% (norm 79.2%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 20.4% (norm 9.3%)

Greg Hardy

Distance 84.4% (norm 79.2%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 13.1% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Serghei Spivac

Head 96.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 2.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 1.2% (norm 7.6%)

Greg Hardy

Head 73.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 16.1% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Spivac L/AAccHeavyweight med Hardy L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 296 / 774 38.2% 40.1% 257 / 581 44.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 17 / 26 65.4% 70.4% 14 / 17 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 158 / 205 77.1% 70.2% 72 / 90 80.0% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 443 / 971 45.6% 39.0% 203 / 506 40.1% 39.0%
To the body 17 / 22 too few to rate 77.0% 51 / 71 71.8% 77.0%
To the legs 11 / 12 too few to rate 87.8% 89 / 111 80.2% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Spivac L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Hardy L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 482 / 1053 45.8% 40.7% 206 / 489 42.1% 40.7%
In the clinch 47 / 67 70.1% 70.6% 1 / 3 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 66 / 91 72.5% 72.2% 38 / 54 70.4% 72.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 378 / 947 39.9% 39.3% 140 / 408 34.3% 39.3%
To the body 126 / 170 74.1% 75.1% 51 / 75 68.0% 75.1%
To the legs 91 / 94 96.8% 84.4% 54 / 63 85.7% 84.4%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3257.1% acc · 3.42/15 · norm 0.90
Takedowns landed
133.3% acc · 0.20/15 · norm 0.90
952.9% def · norm 63.2%
Takedowns stopped
964.3% def · norm 63.2%
41:3529.6% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
5:257.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
21:302:17 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control lower is better
5:171:03 per 15 · norm 2:28
40.43/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Spivac has more cage time on record.