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Serghei Spivac vs. Augusto Sakai

UFC 9-7-0 vs. 5-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
9-7-0
UFC record
5-4-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
31
AgeΔ 4 yrs
35
6'3"
HeightΔ 0"
6'3"
78"
ReachΔ 1"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1.9
Layoff (months)Δ 41.9 mo
43.8
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Serghei Spivac hunts takedowns — 3.42 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.90 Heavyweight norm.
Serghei Spivac is a submission threat — 0.43 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Augusto Sakai rarely shoots — 0.30 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.90 Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Serghei Spivac

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 96
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Augusto Sakai

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 3 — regional circuit 73

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4713.35/min · norm 3.28
Sig. strikes landed
4304.32/min · norm 3.28
5954.23/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
4304.32/min · norm 3.19
46.9%norm 47.5%
Striking accuracy
49.3%norm 47.5%
50.9%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
45.6%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Serghei Spivac

Distance 77.0% (norm 79.2%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 20.4% (norm 9.3%)

Augusto Sakai

Distance 75.8% (norm 79.2%) · Clinch 21.4% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Serghei Spivac

Head 96.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 2.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 1.2% (norm 7.6%)

Augusto Sakai

Head 72.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 19.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 8.1% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Spivac L/AAccHeavyweight med Sakai L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 296 / 774 38.2% 40.1% 260 / 661 39.3% 40.1%
In the clinch 17 / 26 65.4% 70.4% 150 / 187 80.2% 70.4%
On the ground 158 / 205 77.1% 70.2% 20 / 24 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 443 / 971 45.6% 39.0% 255 / 633 40.3% 39.0%
To the body 17 / 22 too few to rate 77.0% 121 / 168 72.0% 77.0%
To the legs 11 / 12 too few to rate 87.8% 54 / 71 76.1% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Spivac L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Sakai L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 482 / 1053 45.8% 40.7% 285 / 610 46.7% 40.7%
In the clinch 47 / 67 70.1% 70.6% 70 / 86 81.4% 70.6%
On the ground 66 / 91 72.5% 72.2% 75 / 95 78.9% 72.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 378 / 947 39.9% 39.3% 249 / 581 42.9% 39.3%
To the body 126 / 170 74.1% 75.1% 125 / 144 86.8% 75.1%
To the legs 91 / 94 96.8% 84.4% 56 / 66 84.8% 84.4%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3257.1% acc · 3.42/15 · norm 0.90
Takedowns landed
240.0% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 0.90
952.9% def · norm 63.2%
Takedowns stopped
637.5% def · norm 63.2%
41:3529.6% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
17:0917.2% of cage time · norm 17.2%
21:302:17 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control lower is better
19:372:57 per 15 · norm 2:28
40.43/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Spivac has more cage time on record.