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Sergei Pavlovich vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta

UFC 9-3-0 vs. 10-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
9-3-0
UFC record
10-4-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
34
Age
—
6'3"
Height
—
84"
Reach
—
Southpaw
Stance
—
4.7
Layoff (months)Δ 3.5 mo
1.2
WWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Sergei Pavlovich carries real power — 1.89 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Heavyweight norm.
Waldo Cortes Acosta carries real power — 0.56 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Heavyweight norm.
Waldo Cortes Acosta rarely shoots — 0.37 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.90 Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Sergei Pavlovich

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 93
Tier 3 — regional circuit 120

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.6 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 123
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.86 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2854.49/min · norm 3.28
Sig. strikes landed
7874.88/min · norm 3.28
2273.58/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
5533.43/min · norm 3.19
44.7%norm 47.5%
Striking accuracy
47.5%norm 47.5%
56.2%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
55.4%norm 52.5%
81.89/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
60.56/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sergei Pavlovich

Distance 87.3% (norm 79.2%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 7.1% (norm 9.3%)

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Distance 90.9% (norm 79.2%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sergei Pavlovich

Head 89.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 7.6%)

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Head 81.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.9% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 8.8% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pavlovich L/AAccHeavyweight med Acosta L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 235 / 557 42.2% 40.1% 697 / 1505 46.3% 40.1%
In the clinch 19 / 36 52.8% 70.4% 24 / 41 58.5% 70.4%
On the ground 31 / 45 68.9% 70.2% 66 / 110 60.0% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 237 / 573 41.4% 39.0% 558 / 1347 41.4% 39.0%
To the body 30 / 46 65.2% 77.0% 113 / 164 68.9% 77.0%
To the legs 18 / 19 too few to rate 87.8% 116 / 145 80.0% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pavlovich L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Acosta L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 204 / 490 41.6% 40.7% 539 / 1212 44.5% 40.7%
In the clinch 8 / 11 too few to rate 70.6% 12 / 26 46.2% 70.6%
On the ground 15 / 17 too few to rate 72.2% 2 / 3 too few to rate 72.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 113 / 352 32.1% 39.3% 217 / 845 25.7% 39.3%
To the body 38 / 61 62.3% 75.1% 112 / 155 72.3% 75.1%
To the legs 76 / 105 72.4% 84.4% 224 / 241 92.9% 84.4%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
225.0% acc · 0.47/15 · norm 0.90
Takedowns landed
450.0% acc · 0.37/15 · norm 0.90
375.0% def · norm 63.2%
Takedowns stopped
2369.7% def · norm 63.2%
7:3812.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
13:518.6% of cage time · norm 17.2%
1:590:28 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control lower is better
13:511:17 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
10.09/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Acosta has more cage time on record.