Sebastian Szalay vs.
Keiichiro Nakamura
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Sebastian Szalay
Full career not yet synced for Sebastian Szalay — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Keiichiro Nakamura
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 0 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 43 | 33 |
Tier-weighted record quality: -0.09 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 87 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Sebastian Szalay
Distance 99.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 0.5% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 6.5%)
Keiichiro Nakamura
Distance 94.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.4% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Sebastian Szalay
Head 73.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 22.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 3.9% (norm 7.8%)
Keiichiro Nakamura
Head 72.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Szalay L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Nakamura L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 78 / 202 | 38.6% | 40.9% | 41 / 112 | 36.6% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 70.8% | 1 / 3 | too few to rate | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 0 / 1 | too few to rate | 69.2% | 3 / 4 | too few to rate | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 47 / 150 | 31.3% | 37.2% | 21 / 86 | 24.4% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 24 / 46 | 52.2% | 68.2% | 11 / 18 | too few to rate | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 8 / 8 | too few to rate | 80.7% | 13 / 15 | too few to rate | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Szalay L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Nakamura L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 41 / 112 | 36.6% | 39.2% | 78 / 202 | 38.6% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 1 / 3 | too few to rate | 70.3% | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 3 / 4 | too few to rate | 69.4% | 0 / 1 | too few to rate | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 21 / 86 | 24.4% | 35.9% | 47 / 150 | 31.3% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 11 / 18 | too few to rate | 67.9% | 24 / 46 | 52.2% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 13 / 15 | too few to rate | 81.5% | 8 / 8 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Szalay has more cage time on record.