BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Saparbeg Safarov vs.
Tyson Pedro

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Saparbeg Safarov · UFC
6-5-0 Tyson Pedro · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
6-5-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
39.8
AgeΔ 4.9 yrs
34.9
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
78"
ReachΔ 1"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
77
Layoff (months)Δ 47.9 mo
29.1
LWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Saparbeg Safarov hunts takedowns — 2.52 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Tyson Pedro is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Saparbeg Safarov owns the mat — in control 41% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Saparbeg Safarov

Full career not yet synced for Saparbeg Safarov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Tyson Pedro

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1204.03/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
2292.90/min · norm 3.41
882.96/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1892.39/min · norm 3.35
48.2%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
59.5%norm 48.3%
47.6%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
56.5%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
50.95/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Saparbeg Safarov

Distance 69.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 23.7% (norm 10.4%)

Tyson Pedro

Distance 80.8% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 13.5% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 5.7% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Saparbeg Safarov

Head 88.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 5.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 9.7%)

Tyson Pedro

Head 60.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 21.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 17.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Safarov L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Pedro L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 60 / 174 34.5% 41.4% 172 / 311 55.3% 41.4%
In the clinch 9 / 16 too few to rate 70.9% 38 / 52 73.1% 70.9%
On the ground 51 / 59 86.4% 72.3% 19 / 22 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 98 / 221 44.3% 38.9% 110 / 234 47.0% 38.9%
To the body 10 / 14 too few to rate 71.9% 64 / 83 77.1% 71.9%
To the legs 12 / 14 too few to rate 81.8% 55 / 68 80.9% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Safarov L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Pedro L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 57 / 121 47.1% 40.4% 111 / 321 34.6% 40.4%
In the clinch 16 / 24 too few to rate 68.7% 28 / 40 70.0% 68.7%
On the ground 15 / 23 too few to rate 70.4% 50 / 73 68.5% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 65 / 137 47.4% 37.5% 123 / 349 35.2% 37.5%
To the body 7 / 14 too few to rate 72.3% 35 / 43 81.4% 72.3%
To the legs 16 / 17 too few to rate 83.0% 31 / 42 73.8% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

541.7% acc · 2.52/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
430.8% acc · 0.76/15 · norm 0.87
133.3% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1250.0% def · norm 66.7%
12:1641.2% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
11:1314.2% of cage time · norm 16.5%
2:181:09 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
21:033:59 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
40.76/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pedro has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.