BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sam Sicilia vs.
Cristiano Marcello

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-7-0 Sam Sicilia · UFC
1-3-0 Cristiano Marcello · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-7-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40.5
AgeΔ 8.2 yrs
48.7
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
67"
ReachΔ 5"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
113.5
Layoff (months)Δ 36.1 mo
149.6
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Sam Sicilia is a submission threat — 0.87 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Cristiano Marcello's takedown defense leaks — 17% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Cristiano Marcello rarely shoots — 0.57 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sam Sicilia

Full career not yet synced for Sam Sicilia — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Cristiano Marcello

Full career not yet synced for Cristiano Marcello — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2552.46/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
1703.21/min · norm 3.42
3683.55/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
2103.97/min · norm 3.37
33.5%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
33.5%norm 43.5%
59.2%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
57.6%norm 56.3%
10.14/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sam Sicilia

Distance 82.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 6.5%)

Cristiano Marcello

Distance 92.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sam Sicilia

Head 84.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 7.8%)

Cristiano Marcello

Head 80.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Sicilia L/AAccFeatherweight med Marcello L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 168 / 626 26.8% 40.9% 151 / 468 32.3% 37.9%
In the clinch 32 / 56 57.1% 70.8% 17 / 34 50.0% 67.3%
On the ground 55 / 79 69.6% 69.2% 2 / 5 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 175 / 641 27.3% 37.2% 117 / 407 28.7% 35.0%
To the body 50 / 81 61.7% 68.2% 32 / 64 50.0% 69.1%
To the legs 30 / 39 76.9% 80.7% 21 / 36 58.3% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Sicilia L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Marcello L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 318 / 832 38.2% 39.2% 164 / 415 39.5% 38.9%
In the clinch 25 / 41 61.0% 70.3% 30 / 44 68.2% 68.6%
On the ground 25 / 30 83.3% 69.4% 16 / 36 44.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 237 / 699 33.9% 35.9% 168 / 437 38.4% 35.1%
To the body 61 / 117 52.1% 67.9% 29 / 37 78.4% 68.1%
To the legs 70 / 87 80.5% 81.5% 13 / 21 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1043.5% acc · 1.45/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
211.8% acc · 0.57/15 · norm 1.38
1470.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
116.7% def · norm 64.0%
24:2923.6% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
4:248.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
8:421:15 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
11:423:19 per 15 · norm 2:46
60.87/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
10.28/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sicilia has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.