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Sam Alvey vs. Rogerio Nogueira

UFC 10-13-1 vs. 6-7-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-13-1
UFC record
6-7-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
40
AgeΔ 10 yrs
50
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
50.5
Layoff (months)Δ 24.3 mo
74.8
LLLLD
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Sam Alvey rarely shoots — 0.06 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.
Rogerio Nogueira rarely shoots — 0.12 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Sam Alvey carries real power — 0.45 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Sam Alvey

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1114
Tier 3 — regional circuit 234

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 23 finish wins over 54 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Rogerio Nogueira

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 3 — regional circuit 173

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7583.28/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
3412.78/min · norm 3.48
8393.63/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3963.23/min · norm 3.37
44.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
36.6%norm 48.45%
52.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
54.7%norm 52.75%
70.45/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
40.49/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sam Alvey

Distance 85.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 10.0%)

Rogerio Nogueira

Distance 84.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 10.6%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sam Alvey

Head 81.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.2% (norm 8.4%)

Rogerio Nogueira

Head 88.2% (norm 78.5%) · Body 10.1% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 1.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alvey L/AAccMiddleweight med Nogueira L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 576 / 1450 39.7% 40.5% 245 / 785 31.2% 41.5%
In the clinch 152 / 208 73.1% 70.6% 44 / 74 59.5% 70.8%
On the ground 30 / 45 66.7% 69.4% 52 / 73 71.2% 72.9%
BY TARGET
To the head 511 / 1390 36.8% 38.8% 262 / 822 31.9% 39.2%
To the body 116 / 156 74.4% 71.6% 64 / 94 68.1% 72.0%
To the legs 131 / 157 83.4% 83.3% 15 / 16 too few to rate 82.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alvey L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Nogueira L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 703 / 1576 44.6% 39.5% 235 / 641 36.7% 40.6%
In the clinch 91 / 137 66.4% 70.4% 37 / 70 52.9% 68.8%
On the ground 45 / 63 71.4% 69.0% 124 / 163 76.1% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 464 / 1233 37.6% 37.9% 264 / 704 37.5% 37.7%
To the body 172 / 306 56.2% 71.3% 69 / 92 75.0% 72.9%
To the legs 203 / 237 85.7% 82.1% 63 / 78 80.8% 83.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
114.3% acc · 0.06/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.12/15 · norm 0.87
5582.1% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
4164.1% def · norm 66.7%
13:065.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
6:285.3% of cage time · norm 17.1%
33:372:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
35:274:19 per 15 · norm 2:50
10.06/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
20.24/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alvey has more cage time on record.