BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sam Alvey vs.
Julian Marquez

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-13-1 Sam Alvey · UFC
3-5-0 Julian Marquez · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-13-1
UFC record
3-5-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
40.3
AgeΔ 4.1 yrs
36.2
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 3"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
48
Layoff (months)Δ 30.8 mo
17.2
LLLLD
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Julian Marquez is a submission threat — 2.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Julian Marquez rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Sam Alvey rarely shoots — 0.06 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sam Alvey

Full career not yet synced for Sam Alvey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Julian Marquez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 46
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.86 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7583.28/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
3145.09/min · norm 3.25
8393.63/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
3525.71/min · norm 3.20
44.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
45.0%norm 47.4%
52.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
49.6%norm 53.8%
70.45/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.24/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sam Alvey

Distance 85.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 10.3%)

Julian Marquez

Distance 78.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 15.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sam Alvey

Head 81.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.2% (norm 8.4%)

Julian Marquez

Head 85.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alvey L/AAccMiddleweight med Marquez L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 576 / 1450 39.7% 40.5% 210 / 547 38.4% 40.5%
In the clinch 152 / 208 73.1% 70.3% 70 / 105 66.7% 70.3%
On the ground 30 / 45 66.7% 69.1% 34 / 46 73.9% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 511 / 1390 36.8% 38.9% 242 / 594 40.7% 38.9%
To the body 116 / 156 74.4% 71.7% 52 / 78 66.7% 71.7%
To the legs 131 / 157 83.4% 83.3% 20 / 26 76.9% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alvey L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Marquez L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 703 / 1576 44.6% 39.5% 243 / 521 46.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 91 / 137 66.4% 70.9% 83 / 137 60.6% 70.9%
On the ground 45 / 63 71.4% 69.0% 26 / 41 63.4% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 464 / 1233 37.6% 37.9% 276 / 601 45.9% 37.9%
To the body 172 / 306 56.2% 71.3% 56 / 72 77.8% 71.3%
To the legs 203 / 237 85.7% 82.1% 20 / 26 76.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

114.3% acc · 0.06/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
5582.1% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1145.8% def · norm 63.1%
13:065.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
3:375.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
33:372:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
19:484:48 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.06/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
112.67/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alvey has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.