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Sam Alvey vs. Brendan Allen

UFC 10-13-1 vs. 16-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-13-1
UFC record
16-4-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
40
AgeΔ 10 yrs
30
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
50.5
Layoff (months)Δ 50.2 mo
0.3
LLLLD
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Brendan Allen is a submission threat — 1.04 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Middleweight norm.
Sam Alvey rarely shoots — 0.06 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.
Brendan Allen owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 19% Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Sam Alvey

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1114
Tier 3 — regional circuit 234

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 23 finish wins over 54 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Brendan Allen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 164
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 14-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7583.28/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
8853.60/min · norm 3.23
8393.63/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9413.83/min · norm 3.20
44.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
52.0%norm 47.4%
52.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
47.8%norm 53.8%
70.45/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.18/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sam Alvey

Distance 85.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 10.0%)

Brendan Allen

Distance 82.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sam Alvey

Head 81.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.2% (norm 8.4%)

Brendan Allen

Head 79.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alvey L/AAccMiddleweight med Allen L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 576 / 1450 39.7% 40.5% 682 / 1411 48.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 152 / 208 73.1% 70.6% 68 / 102 66.7% 70.6%
On the ground 30 / 45 66.7% 69.4% 135 / 189 71.4% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 511 / 1390 36.8% 38.8% 583 / 1345 43.3% 38.8%
To the body 116 / 156 74.4% 71.6% 184 / 231 79.7% 71.6%
To the legs 131 / 157 83.4% 83.3% 118 / 126 93.7% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alvey L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Allen L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 703 / 1576 44.6% 39.5% 805 / 1614 49.9% 39.5%
In the clinch 91 / 137 66.4% 70.4% 58 / 81 71.6% 70.4%
On the ground 45 / 63 71.4% 69.0% 78 / 106 73.6% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 464 / 1233 37.6% 37.9% 746 / 1547 48.2% 37.9%
To the body 172 / 306 56.2% 71.3% 132 / 175 75.4% 71.3%
To the legs 203 / 237 85.7% 82.1% 63 / 79 79.7% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
114.3% acc · 0.06/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
2641.3% acc · 1.59/15 · norm 1.35
5582.1% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
2455.8% def · norm 63.3%
13:065.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
74:5130.5% of cage time · norm 19.4%
33:372:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
54:463:20 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.06/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
171.04/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alvey has more cage time on record.