BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sam Alvey vs.
Alex Nicholson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-13-1 Sam Alvey · UFC
1-3-0 Alex Nicholson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-13-1
UFC record
1-3-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
40.3
AgeΔ 4 yrs
36.3
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'4"
75"
ReachΔ 2"
77"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
48
Layoff (months)Δ 62.3 mo
110.3
LLLLD
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alex Nicholson rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Sam Alvey rarely shoots — 0.06 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Alex Nicholson carries real power — 0.53 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sam Alvey

Full career not yet synced for Sam Alvey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Alex Nicholson

Full career not yet synced for Alex Nicholson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7583.28/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
1174.12/min · norm 3.25
8393.63/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1324.65/min · norm 3.20
44.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
43.7%norm 47.4%
52.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
47.2%norm 53.8%
70.45/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.53/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sam Alvey

Distance 85.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 10.3%)

Alex Nicholson

Distance 94.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.1% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sam Alvey

Head 81.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.2% (norm 8.4%)

Alex Nicholson

Head 75.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Alvey L/AAccMiddleweight med Nicholson L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 576 / 1450 39.7% 40.5% 109 / 254 42.9% 40.5%
In the clinch 152 / 208 73.1% 70.3% 5 / 11 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 30 / 45 66.7% 69.1% 3 / 3 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 511 / 1390 36.8% 38.9% 67 / 201 33.3% 38.9%
To the body 116 / 156 74.4% 71.7% 23 / 36 63.9% 71.7%
To the legs 131 / 157 83.4% 83.3% 27 / 31 87.1% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Alvey L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Nicholson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 703 / 1576 44.6% 39.5% 89 / 190 46.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 91 / 137 66.4% 70.9% 16 / 27 59.3% 70.9%
On the ground 45 / 63 71.4% 69.0% 27 / 33 81.8% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 464 / 1233 37.6% 37.9% 92 / 200 46.0% 37.9%
To the body 172 / 306 56.2% 71.3% 26 / 33 78.8% 71.3%
To the legs 203 / 237 85.7% 82.1% 14 / 17 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

114.3% acc · 0.06/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
5582.1% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
550.0% def · norm 63.1%
13:065.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
0:010.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
33:372:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
7:143:49 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.06/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.53/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alvey has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.