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Said Nurmagomedov vs. Raoni Barcelos

UFC 7-4-0 vs. 11-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
7-4-0
UFC record
11-5-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
34
AgeΔ 5 yrs
39
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
70"
ReachΔ 3"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
14.8
Layoff (months)Δ 14 mo
0.8
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Said Nurmagomedov is a submission threat — 1.15 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Raoni Barcelos is a submission threat — 0.96 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Raoni Barcelos hunts takedowns — 2.88 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Said Nurmagomedov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.25 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Raoni Barcelos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 114
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 51
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.47 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3213.08/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
10454.77/min · norm 3.52
2142.05/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9504.34/min · norm 3.58
48.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
52.3%norm 43.5%
55.6%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
60.0%norm 56.6%
20.29/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
50.34/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Said Nurmagomedov

Distance 84.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 6.4%)

Raoni Barcelos

Distance 84.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 11.3% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Said Nurmagomedov

Head 71.7% (norm 77.5%) · Body 16.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.0% (norm 8.4%)

Raoni Barcelos

Head 82.5% (norm 77.5%) · Body 10.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nurmagomedov L/AAccBantamweight med Barcelos L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 244 / 556 43.9% 39.2% 798 / 1680 47.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 46 / 63 73.0% 69.0% 73 / 93 78.5% 69.0%
On the ground 31 / 42 73.8% 70.2% 174 / 225 77.3% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 173 / 474 36.5% 35.3% 762 / 1649 46.2% 35.3%
To the body 79 / 108 73.1% 66.9% 158 / 204 77.5% 66.9%
To the legs 69 / 79 87.3% 79.2% 125 / 145 86.2% 79.2%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 121 fighters · Bantamweight: 121 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nurmagomedov L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Barcelos L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 155 / 388 39.9% 39.4% 833 / 2200 37.9% 39.4%
In the clinch 32 / 44 72.7% 70.6% 76 / 117 65.0% 70.6%
On the ground 27 / 50 54.0% 72.1% 41 / 57 71.9% 72.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 89 / 294 30.3% 34.9% 634 / 1953 32.5% 34.9%
To the body 52 / 91 57.1% 66.1% 184 / 268 68.7% 66.1%
To the legs 73 / 97 75.3% 78.8% 132 / 153 86.3% 78.8%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
615.4% acc · 0.86/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
4233.3% acc · 2.88/15 · norm 1.12
2463.2% def · norm 65.7%
Takedowns stopped
3886.4% def · norm 65.7%
11:4711.3% of cage time · norm 17.8%
Control time
55:0525.2% of cage time · norm 17.8%
38:035:28 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control lower is better
13:340:55 per 15 · norm 2:24
81.15/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
140.96/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barcelos has more cage time on record.