Said Nurmagomedov vs.
Justin Scoggins
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Said Nurmagomedov
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 7 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 11 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.25 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 23 documented bouts
In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500
Justin Scoggins
Full career not yet synced for Justin Scoggins — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Said Nurmagomedov
Distance 84.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 6.5%)
Justin Scoggins
Distance 75.9% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 7.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Said Nurmagomedov
Head 71.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.0% (norm 8.4%)
Justin Scoggins
Head 74.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.3% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 9.3%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Nurmagomedov L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med | Scoggins L/A | Acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 244 / 556 | 43.9% | 39.0% | 222 / 527 | 42.1% | 40.0% |
| In the clinch | 46 / 63 | 73.0% | 68.7% | 38 / 46 | 82.6% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 31 / 42 | 73.8% | 70.2% | 99 / 121 | 81.8% | 69.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 173 / 474 | 36.5% | 34.9% | 236 / 516 | 45.7% | 37.6% |
| To the body | 79 / 108 | 73.1% | 66.8% | 74 / 120 | 61.7% | 68.5% |
| To the legs | 69 / 79 | 87.3% | 79.4% | 49 / 58 | 84.5% | 80.0% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Nurmagomedov L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med | vs Scoggins L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 155 / 388 | 39.9% | 39.3% | 144 / 390 | 36.9% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 32 / 44 | 72.7% | 70.4% | 42 / 57 | 73.7% | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 27 / 50 | 54.0% | 72.4% | 32 / 45 | 71.1% | 71.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 89 / 294 | 30.3% | 34.9% | 119 / 338 | 35.2% | 35.2% |
| To the body | 52 / 91 | 57.1% | 66.0% | 58 / 89 | 65.2% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 73 / 97 | 75.3% | 79.1% | 41 / 65 | 63.1% | 80.3% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nurmagomedov has more cage time on record.