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Sage Northcutt vs. Zak Ottow

UFC 6-2-0 vs. 4-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
6-2-0
UFC record
4-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
30
AgeΔ 9 yrs
39
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
99.2
Layoff (months)Δ 7.8 mo
91.4
WWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Sage Northcutt carries real power — 0.40 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Sage Northcutt is hard to hit — absorbs 1.96 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.38 Lightweight norm.
Zak Ottow is wasteful with body shots — only 50% land, vs a 71% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Sage Northcutt

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 73
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 40
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.65 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Zak Ottow

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 3 — regional circuit 164

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.73 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2673.58/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
2032.63/min · norm 3.17
1461.96/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2112.73/min · norm 3.08
52.4%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
36.8%norm 44.75%
59.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
58.6%norm 55.25%
20.40/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.39/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sage Northcutt

Distance 74.7% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 12.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 8.0%)

Zak Ottow

Distance 90.9% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 2.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 7.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sage Northcutt

Head 76.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 8.0%)

Zak Ottow

Head 76.0% (norm 78.3%) · Body 14.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Northcutt L/AAccLightweight med Ottow L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 162 / 381 42.5% 38.3% 174 / 501 34.7% 38.5%
In the clinch 51 / 63 81.0% 67.5% 7 / 11 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 54 / 66 81.8% 68.8% 22 / 39 56.4% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 173 / 390 44.4% 35.1% 118 / 419 28.2% 36.4%
To the body 52 / 70 74.3% 69.1% 40 / 80 50.0% 70.7%
To the legs 42 / 50 84.0% 81.8% 45 / 52 86.5% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Northcutt L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Ottow L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 107 / 296 36.1% 38.8% 144 / 415 34.7% 39.1%
In the clinch 6 / 12 too few to rate 68.6% 24 / 28 85.7% 68.9%
On the ground 33 / 48 68.8% 68.0% 43 / 67 64.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 87 / 262 33.2% 35.2% 123 / 384 32.0% 35.6%
To the body 15 / 31 48.4% 68.2% 33 / 57 57.9% 69.6%
To the legs 44 / 63 69.8% 81.5% 55 / 69 79.7% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
934.6% acc · 1.81/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
529.4% acc · 0.97/15 · norm 1.31
1041.7% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
857.1% def · norm 63.9%
12:5717.4% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
11:0214.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
28:595:49 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
14:572:54 per 15 · norm 3:15
30.60/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
20.39/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Northcutt has more cage time on record.