BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sage Northcutt vs.
Mickey Gall

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-2-0 Sage Northcutt · UFC
6-7-0 Mickey Gall · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-2-0
UFC record
6-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
30.4
AgeΔ 4.1 yrs
34.5
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
71"
ReachΔ 3"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
96.7
Layoff (months)Δ 76.1 mo
20.6
WWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mickey Gall is a submission threat — 1.58 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Sage Northcutt carries real power — 0.40 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Mickey Gall absorbs 4.72 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sage Northcutt

Full career not yet synced for Sage Northcutt — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Mickey Gall

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 67
Tier 3 — regional circuit 10

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.8 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 14 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2673.58/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3663.50/min · norm 3.17
1461.96/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4944.72/min · norm 3.06
52.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
49.6%norm 44.9%
59.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
49.6%norm 55.25%
20.40/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
20.29/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sage Northcutt

Distance 74.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 12.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 8.0%)

Mickey Gall

Distance 82.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sage Northcutt

Head 76.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 7.9%)

Mickey Gall

Head 86.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Northcutt L/AAccLightweight med Gall L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 162 / 381 42.5% 37.9% 281 / 612 45.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 51 / 63 81.0% 67.3% 41 / 59 69.5% 67.8%
On the ground 54 / 66 81.8% 69.1% 44 / 67 65.7% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 173 / 390 44.4% 35.0% 288 / 636 45.3% 37.2%
To the body 52 / 70 74.3% 69.1% 58 / 79 73.4% 70.7%
To the legs 42 / 50 84.0% 81.9% 20 / 23 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Northcutt L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Gall L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 107 / 296 36.1% 38.9% 336 / 765 43.9% 39.0%
In the clinch 6 / 12 too few to rate 68.6% 41 / 56 73.2% 68.9%
On the ground 33 / 48 68.8% 68.0% 117 / 159 73.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 87 / 262 33.2% 35.1% 361 / 814 44.3% 35.6%
To the body 15 / 31 48.4% 68.1% 86 / 117 73.5% 69.6%
To the legs 44 / 63 69.8% 81.5% 47 / 49 95.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

934.6% acc · 1.81/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
832.0% acc · 1.15/15 · norm 1.27
1041.7% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
637.5% def · norm 63.9%
12:5717.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
17:5617.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
28:595:49 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
26:483:50 per 15 · norm 3:15
30.60/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
111.58/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gall has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.