BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sage Northcutt vs.
Michel Quinones

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-2-0 Sage Northcutt · UFC
0-2-0 Michel Quinones · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-2-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
30
AgeΔ 11 yrs
41
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 2"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
96.7
Layoff (months)Δ 8.1 mo
104.8
WWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Michel Quinones rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Michel Quinones absorbs 5.98 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Sage Northcutt carries real power — 0.40 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sage Northcutt

Full career not yet synced for Sage Northcutt — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Michel Quinones

Full career not yet synced for Michel Quinones — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2673.58/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
712.91/min · norm 3.42
1461.96/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1465.98/min · norm 3.37
52.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
29.7%norm 43.5%
59.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
48.2%norm 56.3%
20.40/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sage Northcutt

Distance 74.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 12.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 8.0%)

Michel Quinones

Distance 99.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 0.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sage Northcutt

Head 76.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 7.9%)

Michel Quinones

Head 66.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 20.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Northcutt L/AAccLightweight med Quinones L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 162 / 381 42.5% 37.9% 70 / 237 29.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 51 / 63 81.0% 67.3% 1 / 2 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 54 / 66 81.8% 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 173 / 390 44.4% 35.0% 19 / 158 12.0% 35.0%
To the body 52 / 70 74.3% 69.1% 13 / 33 39.4% 69.1%
To the legs 42 / 50 84.0% 81.9% 39 / 48 81.2% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Northcutt L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Quinones L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 107 / 296 36.1% 38.9% 104 / 224 46.4% 38.9%
In the clinch 6 / 12 too few to rate 68.6% 6 / 7 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 33 / 48 68.8% 68.0% 36 / 51 70.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 87 / 262 33.2% 35.1% 99 / 215 46.0% 35.1%
To the body 15 / 31 48.4% 68.1% 20 / 31 64.5% 68.1%
To the legs 44 / 63 69.8% 81.5% 27 / 36 75.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

934.6% acc · 1.81/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
1041.7% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
436.4% def · norm 64.0%
12:5717.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
28:595:49 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
5:233:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
30.60/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Northcutt has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.