BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Sabina Mazo vs.
Mariya Agapova

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Sabina Mazo · UFC
2-4-0 Mariya Agapova · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
29.4
AgeΔ 0.1 yrs
29.3
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
52.8
Layoff (months)Δ 28 mo
24.8
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mariya Agapova carries real power — 0.76 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.09 Women's Flyweight norm.
Mariya Agapova is a submission threat — 1.14 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Sabina Mazo carries real power — 0.16 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.09 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Sabina Mazo

Full career not yet synced for Sabina Mazo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Mariya Agapova

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 25
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5626.10/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
2025.12/min · norm 3.91
4014.35/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
1313.32/min · norm 3.81
43.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
56.0%norm 44.9%
57.3%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
54.4%norm 55.95%
10.16/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
20.76/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Sabina Mazo

Distance 89.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.7% (norm 4.9%)

Mariya Agapova

Distance 77.8% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 10.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Sabina Mazo

Head 70.0% (norm 78.1%) · Body 14.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 15.2% (norm 7.7%)

Mariya Agapova

Head 72.3% (norm 78.1%) · Body 20.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mazo L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Agapova L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 460 / 1148 40.1% 39.9% 136 / 281 48.4% 39.9%
In the clinch 75 / 102 73.5% 73.3% 31 / 39 79.5% 73.3%
On the ground 27 / 35 77.1% 74.7% 35 / 41 85.4% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 274 / 900 30.4% 34.9% 130 / 261 49.8% 34.9%
To the body 144 / 190 75.8% 69.5% 56 / 75 74.7% 69.5%
To the legs 144 / 195 73.8% 82.6% 16 / 25 64.0% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mazo L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Agapova L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 351 / 859 40.9% 38.8% 82 / 221 37.1% 38.8%
In the clinch 34 / 55 61.8% 74.1% 15 / 20 too few to rate 74.1%
On the ground 16 / 26 61.5% 73.4% 34 / 46 73.9% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 182 / 648 28.1% 35.3% 80 / 206 38.8% 35.3%
To the body 100 / 151 66.2% 69.0% 29 / 42 69.0% 69.0%
To the legs 119 / 141 84.4% 78.7% 22 / 39 56.4% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

480.0% acc · 0.65/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
2100.0% acc · 0.76/15 · norm 1.02
1359.1% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
746.7% def · norm 58.95%
13:4014.8% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
4:4912.2% of cage time · norm 19.15%
20:423:22 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
17:286:38 per 15 · norm 3:03
10.16/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
31.14/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Mazo has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.