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Ryan Spann vs. Bogdan Guskov

UFC 10-7-0 vs. 4-2-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
10-7-0
UFC record
4-2-1
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
35
AgeΔ 1 yrs
34
6'5"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
79"
ReachΔ 3"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1.5
Layoff (months)Δ 1.4 mo
2.9
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LDWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Ryan Spann is a submission threat — 1.58 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Light Heavyweight norm.
Bogdan Guskov is a submission threat — 0.68 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Light Heavyweight norm.
Bogdan Guskov carries real power — 0.91 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Ryan Spann

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 117
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 53
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.1 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Bogdan Guskov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 3 — regional circuit 142

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3173.03/min · norm 3.48
Sig. strikes landed
2383.60/min · norm 3.48
4284.09/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2323.50/min · norm 3.37
39.4%norm 48.45%
Striking accuracy
56.8%norm 48.45%
42.2%norm 52.75%
Striking defense
46.5%norm 52.75%
60.86/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
40.91/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ryan Spann

Distance 84.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 10.6% (norm 10.6%)

Bogdan Guskov

Distance 72.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 2.9% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 24.8% (norm 10.6%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ryan Spann

Head 87.2% (norm 78.5%) · Body 10.3% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 2.5% (norm 9.7%)

Bogdan Guskov

Head 83.5% (norm 78.5%) · Body 3.3% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 13.1% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Spann L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Guskov L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 225 / 680 33.1% 41.5% 156 / 303 51.5% 41.5%
In the clinch 29 / 39 74.4% 70.8% 11 / 12 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 63 / 85 74.1% 72.9% 71 / 104 68.3% 72.9%
BY TARGET
To the head 239 / 701 34.1% 39.2% 177 / 350 50.6% 39.2%
To the body 59 / 83 71.1% 72.0% 12 / 14 too few to rate 72.0%
To the legs 19 / 20 too few to rate 82.1% 49 / 55 89.1% 82.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Spann L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Guskov L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 301 / 580 51.9% 40.6% 187 / 376 49.7% 40.6%
In the clinch 30 / 44 68.2% 68.8% 12 / 14 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 97 / 117 82.9% 70.4% 33 / 44 75.0% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 305 / 598 51.0% 37.7% 135 / 300 45.0% 37.7%
To the body 44 / 55 80.0% 72.9% 48 / 77 62.3% 72.9%
To the legs 79 / 88 89.8% 83.1% 49 / 57 86.0% 83.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
833.3% acc · 1.15/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
1950.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
654.5% def · norm 66.7%
23:3422.5% of cage time · norm 17.1%
Control time
6:149.4% of cage time · norm 17.1%
19:172:45 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
18:104:06 per 15 · norm 2:50
111.58/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
30.68/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Spann has more cage time on record.