BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rose Namajunas vs.
Zhang Weili

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-7-0 Rose Namajunas · UFC
10-3-0 Zhang Weili · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-7-0
UFC record
10-3-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
34.1
AgeΔ 2.9 yrs
37
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'4"
65"
ReachΔ 2"
63"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6.4
Layoff (months)Δ 2.3 mo
8.7
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Zhang Weili hunts takedowns — 1.96 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Zhang Weili is a submission threat — 0.45 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Rose Namajunas hunts takedowns — 1.47 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rose Namajunas

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 127
Tier 3 — regional circuit 21

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Zhang Weili

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 103
Tier 3 — regional circuit 161

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.47 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10403.50/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
9294.66/min · norm 3.77
10043.38/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
5232.63/min · norm 3.94
41.1%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
52.7%norm 44.5%
63.7%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
53.1%norm 54.4%
60.30/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
30.23/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rose Namajunas

Distance 90.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)

Zhang Weili

Distance 74.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 20.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rose Namajunas

Head 83.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 11.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 9.1%)

Zhang Weili

Head 68.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 13.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 18.5% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Namajunas L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Weili L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 871 / 2290 38.0% 38.3% 552 / 1305 42.3% 38.3%
In the clinch 71 / 107 66.4% 72.6% 82 / 100 82.0% 72.6%
On the ground 98 / 133 73.7% 75.0% 295 / 358 82.4% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 744 / 2105 35.3% 35.4% 548 / 1199 45.7% 35.4%
To the body 195 / 300 65.0% 69.3% 159 / 237 67.1% 69.3%
To the legs 101 / 125 80.8% 77.9% 222 / 327 67.9% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Namajunas L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Weili L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 836 / 2511 33.3% 39.7% 421 / 989 42.6% 39.7%
In the clinch 115 / 175 65.7% 71.5% 54 / 68 79.4% 71.5%
On the ground 53 / 78 67.9% 74.4% 48 / 59 81.4% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 510 / 2078 24.5% 36.0% 284 / 791 35.9% 36.0%
To the body 216 / 344 62.8% 68.4% 98 / 136 72.1% 68.4%
To the legs 278 / 342 81.3% 79.1% 141 / 189 74.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2948.3% acc · 1.47/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
2644.8% acc · 1.96/15 · norm 1.10
4162.1% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
2163.6% def · norm 64.1%
58:3619.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
57:4429.0% of cage time · norm 19.4%
29:461:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
33:142:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
70.35/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
60.45/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Namajunas has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.