Rory MacDonald vs.
Mike Guymon
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Rory MacDonald
Full career not yet synced for Rory MacDonald — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500
Mike Guymon
Full career not yet synced for Mike Guymon — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Rory MacDonald
Distance 83.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 8.1%)
Mike Guymon
Distance 47.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 39.6% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Rory MacDonald
Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)
Mike Guymon
Head 78.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | MacDonald L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Guymon L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 509 / 1317 | 38.6% | 38.6% | 13 / 48 | 27.1% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 55 / 95 | 57.9% | 67.8% | 13 / 13 | too few to rate | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 103 / 158 | 65.2% | 67.2% | 40 / 40 | 100.0% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 499 / 1302 | 38.3% | 37.2% | 45 / 79 | 57.0% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 125 / 213 | 58.7% | 70.7% | 15 / 16 | too few to rate | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 43 / 55 | 78.2% | 82.9% | 6 / 6 | too few to rate | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs MacDonald L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Guymon L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 370 / 1123 | 32.9% | 39.0% | 10 / 46 | 21.7% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 59 / 105 | 56.2% | 68.9% | 2 / 2 | too few to rate | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 70 / 101 | 69.3% | 68.0% | 7 / 8 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 323 / 1073 | 30.1% | 35.6% | 16 / 49 | 32.7% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 72 / 126 | 57.1% | 69.6% | 2 / 5 | too few to rate | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 104 / 130 | 80.0% | 82.1% | 1 / 2 | too few to rate | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — MacDonald has more cage time on record.