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Rory MacDonald vs. Demian Maia

UFC 9-4-0 vs. 22-11-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
9-4-0
UFC record
22-11-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
37
AgeΔ 11 yrs
48
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
76"
ReachΔ 4"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
124
Layoff (months)Δ 59.7 mo
64.3
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Demian Maia is a submission threat — 0.99 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Demian Maia owns the mat — in control 38% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Rory MacDonald hunts takedowns — 1.77 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Rory MacDonald

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1410
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.15 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Demian Maia

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2211
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.45 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6673.75/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
7391.80/min · norm 3.17
4992.80/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
8462.07/min · norm 3.08
42.5%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
43.6%norm 44.75%
62.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
63.6%norm 55.25%
10.08/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.04/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rory MacDonald

Distance 83.9% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 8.1%)

Demian Maia

Distance 70.0% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 22.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rory MacDonald

Head 82.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 13.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.0%)

Demian Maia

Head 88.0% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.9% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone MacDonald L/AAccWelterweight med Maia L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 509 / 1317 38.6% 38.5% 371 / 1188 31.2% 38.5%
In the clinch 55 / 95 57.9% 67.8% 89 / 135 65.9% 67.8%
On the ground 103 / 158 65.2% 67.0% 279 / 373 74.8% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 499 / 1302 38.3% 36.4% 592 / 1493 39.7% 36.4%
To the body 125 / 213 58.7% 70.7% 108 / 153 70.6% 70.7%
To the legs 43 / 55 78.2% 83.0% 39 / 50 78.0% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs MacDonald L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Maia L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 370 / 1123 32.9% 39.1% 655 / 2026 32.3% 39.1%
In the clinch 59 / 105 56.2% 68.9% 58 / 95 61.1% 68.9%
On the ground 70 / 101 69.3% 68.0% 133 / 206 64.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 323 / 1073 30.1% 35.6% 567 / 1924 29.5% 35.6%
To the body 72 / 126 57.1% 69.6% 106 / 185 57.3% 69.6%
To the legs 104 / 130 80.0% 82.2% 173 / 218 79.4% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2147.7% acc · 1.77/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
6824.8% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.31
4088.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2461.5% def · norm 63.9%
28:5216.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
155:1937.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
20:471:45 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
49:591:49 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.42/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
270.99/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Maia has more cage time on record.