BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rongzhu vs.
Austin Hubbard

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-3-0 Rongzhu · UFC
4-8-0 Austin Hubbard · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-3-0
UFC record
4-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
26.4
AgeΔ 8.2 yrs
34.6
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 0"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
11.4
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
11.4
WWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rongzhu absorbs 5.78 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Rongzhu outworks the Lightweight division — 5.60 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rongzhu

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 33
Tier 3 — regional circuit 253

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.95 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.7 wins over .500

Austin Hubbard

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 48
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 103

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.48 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4515.60/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
6223.97/min · norm 3.42
4655.78/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6414.10/min · norm 3.37
50.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
42.0%norm 43.5%
54.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
55.2%norm 56.3%
20.37/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rongzhu

Distance 90.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 8.0%)

Austin Hubbard

Distance 92.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rongzhu

Head 85.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 7.9%)

Austin Hubbard

Head 70.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rongzhu L/AAccLightweight med Hubbard L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 395 / 811 48.7% 37.9% 548 / 1363 40.2% 37.9%
In the clinch 11 / 18 too few to rate 67.3% 40 / 70 57.1% 67.3%
On the ground 45 / 65 69.2% 69.1% 34 / 47 72.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 344 / 768 44.8% 35.0% 326 / 1044 31.2% 35.0%
To the body 56 / 72 77.8% 69.1% 176 / 295 59.7% 69.1%
To the legs 51 / 54 94.4% 81.9% 120 / 141 85.1% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rongzhu L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Hubbard L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 438 / 968 45.2% 38.9% 560 / 1330 42.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 18 / 30 60.0% 68.6% 45 / 57 78.9% 68.6%
On the ground 9 / 17 too few to rate 68.0% 36 / 43 83.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 279 / 755 37.0% 35.1% 376 / 1070 35.1% 35.1%
To the body 109 / 155 70.3% 68.1% 117 / 184 63.6% 68.1%
To the legs 77 / 105 73.3% 81.5% 148 / 176 84.1% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1062.5% acc · 1.86/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1728.8% acc · 1.63/15 · norm 1.38
1583.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3068.2% def · norm 64.0%
13:0116.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
27:1917.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
3:430:41 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
25:352:27 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.10/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hubbard has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.