BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ron Waterman vs.
Andre Roberts

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-1-1 Ron Waterman · UFC
2-1-0 Andre Roberts · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-1-1
UFC record
2-1-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
60
AgeΔ 1 yrs
61
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
315.7
Layoff (months)Δ 9 mo
324.7
WDLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Andre Roberts carries real power — 4.21 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Ron Waterman is a submission threat — 1.35 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Ron Waterman owns the mat — in control 64% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ron Waterman

Full career not yet synced for Ron Waterman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Andre Roberts

Full career not yet synced for Andre Roberts — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

932.79/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
123.36/min · norm 3.36
280.84/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
308.41/min · norm 3.19
65.0%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
52.2%norm 47.8%
56.9%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
51.6%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
14.21/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ron Waterman

Distance 16.8% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 35.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 48.3% (norm 9.3%)

Andre Roberts

Distance 52.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 34.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 13.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ron Waterman

Head 79.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 7.6%)

Andre Roberts

Head 95.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 4.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Waterman L/AAccHeavyweight med Roberts L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 13 / 24 too few to rate 40.1% 6 / 12 too few to rate 40.1%
In the clinch 24 / 50 48.0% 70.6% 3 / 8 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 56 / 69 81.2% 70.2% 3 / 3 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 73 / 113 64.6% 38.9% 12 / 22 too few to rate 38.9%
To the body 12 / 16 too few to rate 76.8% 0 / 1 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 8 / 14 too few to rate 87.8% 0 / 0 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Waterman L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Roberts L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 10 / 36 27.8% 40.7% 14 / 26 53.8% 40.7%
In the clinch 8 / 16 too few to rate 70.6% 16 / 36 44.4% 70.6%
On the ground 10 / 13 too few to rate 72.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 19 / 50 38.0% 38.8% 25 / 54 46.3% 38.8%
To the body 7 / 9 too few to rate 75.1% 3 / 6 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 2 / 6 too few to rate 84.4% 2 / 2 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

637.5% acc · 2.70/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
0— def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
0— def · norm 64.3%
21:0063.9% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
0:2816.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
2:341:09 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
0:281:57 per 15 · norm 2:28
31.35/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Waterman has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.