BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Roman Kopylov vs.
Karl Roberson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-5-0 Roman Kopylov · UFC
4-6-0 Karl Roberson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-5-0
UFC record
4-6-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
35
AgeΔ 0 yrs
35
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 46 mo
48.9
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Roman Kopylov carries real power — 0.92 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Roman Kopylov absorbs 5.08 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Karl Roberson rarely shoots — 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Roman Kopylov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 75
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Karl Roberson

Full career not yet synced for Karl Roberson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6684.54/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2082.51/min · norm 3.25
7475.08/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2002.42/min · norm 3.20
50.2%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
51.5%norm 47.4%
53.3%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.7%norm 53.8%
90.92/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.18/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Roman Kopylov

Distance 94.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 2.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 10.3%)

Karl Roberson

Distance 75.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Roman Kopylov

Head 79.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.1% (norm 8.4%)

Karl Roberson

Head 74.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kopylov L/AAccMiddleweight med Roberson L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 614 / 1258 48.8% 40.5% 122 / 303 40.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 26 / 35 74.3% 70.3% 33 / 35 94.3% 70.3%
On the ground 28 / 39 71.8% 69.1% 53 / 66 80.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 441 / 1062 41.5% 38.9% 127 / 299 42.5% 38.9%
To the body 128 / 162 79.0% 71.7% 37 / 54 68.5% 71.7%
To the legs 99 / 108 91.7% 83.3% 44 / 51 86.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kopylov L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Roberson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 669 / 1486 45.0% 39.5% 100 / 344 29.1% 39.5%
In the clinch 36 / 47 76.6% 70.9% 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 42 / 67 62.7% 69.0% 86 / 111 77.5% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 442 / 1182 37.4% 37.9% 147 / 384 38.3% 37.9%
To the body 179 / 261 68.6% 71.3% 32 / 53 60.4% 71.3%
To the legs 126 / 157 80.3% 82.1% 21 / 36 58.3% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1150.0% acc · 1.12/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
440.0% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.42
4088.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
1140.7% def · norm 63.1%
13:219.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
14:2617.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
13:241:21 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
30:005:26 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
30.54/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kopylov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.