BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rolando Delgado vs.
Paul Kelly

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Rolando Delgado · UFC
5-4-0 Paul Kelly · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
5-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44
AgeΔ 3 yrs
41
6'3"
HeightΔ 6"
5'9"
77"
ReachΔ 7"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
200.7
Layoff (months)Δ 14.7 mo
186
LLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rolando Delgado is a submission threat — 3.51 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Paul Kelly is a submission threat — 1.49 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Rolando Delgado carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rolando Delgado

Full career not yet synced for Rolando Delgado — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Paul Kelly

Full career not yet synced for Paul Kelly — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

401.56/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3253.22/min · norm 3.42
471.83/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2632.61/min · norm 3.37
40.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
38.0%norm 43.5%
62.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.5%norm 56.3%
10.58/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rolando Delgado

Distance 74.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 15.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.0% (norm 8.0%)

Paul Kelly

Distance 56.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 33.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rolando Delgado

Head 68.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 27.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 7.9%)

Paul Kelly

Head 88.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 6.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Delgado L/AAccLightweight med Kelly L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 25 / 74 33.8% 37.9% 112 / 487 23.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 7 / 15 too few to rate 67.3% 46 / 82 56.1% 67.3%
On the ground 8 / 11 too few to rate 69.1% 167 / 287 58.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 19 / 68 27.9% 35.0% 251 / 761 33.0% 35.0%
To the body 18 / 27 66.7% 69.1% 48 / 59 81.4% 69.1%
To the legs 3 / 5 too few to rate 81.9% 26 / 36 72.2% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Delgado L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Kelly L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 13 / 68 19.1% 38.9% 168 / 482 34.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 2 / 3 too few to rate 68.6% 35 / 63 55.6% 68.6%
On the ground 32 / 54 59.3% 68.0% 60 / 105 57.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 36 / 109 33.0% 35.1% 166 / 517 32.1% 35.1%
To the body 4 / 8 too few to rate 68.1% 44 / 63 69.8% 68.1%
To the legs 7 / 8 too few to rate 81.5% 53 / 70 75.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

222.2% acc · 1.17/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
960.0% acc · 1.34/15 · norm 1.38
00.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
830.8% def · norm 64.0%
8:1932.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
39:5839.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
8:304:58 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
23:383:30 per 15 · norm 2:46
63.51/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
101.49/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kelly has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.