BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rodrigo Nascimento vs.
Alexandr Romanov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 (1 NC) Rodrigo Nascimento · UFC
7-3-0 Alexandr Romanov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
7-3-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
33.7
AgeΔ 2 yrs
35.7
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
80"
ReachΔ 5"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
21.1
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
21.1
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alexandr Romanov is a submission threat — 0.86 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Alexandr Romanov hunts takedowns — 4.49 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Rodrigo Nascimento is a submission threat — 0.35 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rodrigo Nascimento

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 65
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Alexandr Romanov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 94
Tier 3 — regional circuit 130

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.46 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3143.69/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
3283.78/min · norm 3.36
3764.42/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1852.13/min · norm 3.19
47.4%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
51.7%norm 47.8%
44.5%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
54.1%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rodrigo Nascimento

Distance 89.4% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 9.3%)

Alexandr Romanov

Distance 52.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 5.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 42.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rodrigo Nascimento

Head 83.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 7.6%)

Alexandr Romanov

Head 84.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 8.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nascimento L/AAccHeavyweight med Romanov L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 259 / 593 43.7% 40.1% 158 / 330 47.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 37 / 49 75.5% 70.6% 27 / 35 77.1% 70.6%
On the ground 18 / 21 too few to rate 70.2% 143 / 270 53.0% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 224 / 553 40.5% 38.9% 242 / 535 45.2% 38.9%
To the body 49 / 66 74.2% 76.8% 40 / 52 76.9% 76.8%
To the legs 41 / 44 93.2% 87.8% 46 / 48 95.8% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nascimento L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Romanov L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 277 / 548 50.5% 40.7% 157 / 369 42.5% 40.7%
In the clinch 68 / 86 79.1% 70.6% 19 / 24 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 31 / 44 70.5% 72.0% 9 / 10 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 237 / 503 47.1% 38.8% 117 / 320 36.6% 38.8%
To the body 89 / 118 75.4% 75.1% 36 / 47 76.6% 75.1%
To the legs 50 / 57 87.7% 84.4% 32 / 36 88.9% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

637.5% acc · 1.06/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
2655.3% acc · 4.49/15 · norm 0.95
1359.1% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
228.6% def · norm 64.3%
20:1023.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
42:2248.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
18:583:20 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
7:531:21 per 15 · norm 2:28
20.35/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
50.86/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Romanov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.