BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rodrigo Damm vs.
Antonio Carvalho

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Rodrigo Damm · UFC
2-2-0 Antonio Carvalho · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
2-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
46
AgeΔ 1 yrs
47
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
139.1
Layoff (months)Δ 21.6 mo
160.7
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Antonio Carvalho rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Rodrigo Damm absorbs 5.90 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Rodrigo Damm rarely shoots — 0.50 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rodrigo Damm

Full career not yet synced for Rodrigo Damm — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Antonio Carvalho

Full career not yet synced for Antonio Carvalho — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3463.86/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1043.03/min · norm 3.54
5295.90/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1243.62/min · norm 3.47
36.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
29.5%norm 45.0%
57.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
65.0%norm 54.85%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.44/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rodrigo Damm

Distance 97.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 8.0%)

Antonio Carvalho

Distance 94.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.1% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rodrigo Damm

Head 83.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.9% (norm 7.9%)

Antonio Carvalho

Head 77.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 4.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 18.4% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Damm L/AAccLightweight med Carvalho L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 332 / 923 36.0% 37.9% 92 / 332 27.7% 40.9%
In the clinch 11 / 17 too few to rate 67.3% 7 / 11 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 3 / 5 too few to rate 69.1% 5 / 10 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 246 / 792 31.1% 35.0% 45 / 272 16.5% 37.2%
To the body 40 / 69 58.0% 69.1% 9 / 16 too few to rate 68.2%
To the legs 60 / 84 71.4% 81.9% 50 / 65 76.9% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Damm L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Carvalho L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 505 / 1213 41.6% 38.9% 108 / 327 33.0% 39.2%
In the clinch 18 / 31 58.1% 68.6% 12 / 20 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 6 / 8 too few to rate 68.0% 4 / 7 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 331 / 969 34.2% 35.1% 80 / 283 28.3% 35.9%
To the body 99 / 159 62.3% 68.1% 22 / 29 75.9% 67.9%
To the legs 99 / 124 79.8% 81.5% 22 / 42 52.4% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

317.6% acc · 0.50/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.19
1191.7% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2100.0% def · norm 61.5%
4:365.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
2:287.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
3:200:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
3:191:27 per 15 · norm 3:12
20.33/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Damm has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.