BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Robert Whittaker vs.
Stephen Thompson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

18-7-0 Robert Whittaker · UFC
12-9-1 Stephen Thompson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

18-7-0
UFC record
12-9-1
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
35.6
AgeΔ 7.9 yrs
43.5
6'0"
HeightΔ 0"
6'0"
73"
ReachΔ 2"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
0.9
Layoff (months)Δ 11.9 mo
12.8
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Stephen Thompson rarely shoots — 0.23 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Robert Whittaker carries real power — 0.53 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Robert Whittaker rarely shoots — 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Robert Whittaker

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 187
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.3 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.1 wins over .500

Stephen Thompson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 129
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

14894.41/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
12934.05/min · norm 3.17
11483.40/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
9593.00/min · norm 3.06
43.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
46.0%norm 44.9%
59.2%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
54.9%norm 55.25%
120.53/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
100.47/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Robert Whittaker

Distance 90.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.6% (norm 10.3%)

Stephen Thompson

Distance 93.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Robert Whittaker

Head 83.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 7.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 8.4%)

Stephen Thompson

Head 79.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Whittaker L/AAccMiddleweight med Thompson L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1288 / 3106 41.5% 40.5% 1158 / 2618 44.2% 38.6%
In the clinch 100 / 167 59.9% 70.3% 88 / 119 73.9% 67.8%
On the ground 101 / 159 63.5% 69.1% 47 / 73 64.4% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 1069 / 2869 37.3% 38.9% 857 / 2220 38.6% 37.2%
To the body 153 / 250 61.2% 71.7% 305 / 432 70.6% 70.7%
To the legs 267 / 313 85.3% 83.3% 131 / 158 82.9% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Whittaker L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Thompson L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 965 / 2563 37.7% 39.5% 666 / 1731 38.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 120 / 172 69.8% 70.9% 146 / 204 71.6% 68.9%
On the ground 63 / 77 81.8% 69.0% 147 / 191 77.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 645 / 2110 30.6% 37.9% 512 / 1495 34.2% 35.6%
To the body 234 / 378 61.9% 71.3% 172 / 276 62.3% 69.6%
To the legs 269 / 324 83.0% 82.1% 275 / 355 77.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1638.1% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
535.7% acc · 0.23/15 · norm 1.27
7680.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
5063.3% def · norm 63.9%
26:397.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
19:186.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
36:231:36 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
60:122:49 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Whittaker has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.