BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Robert Valentin vs.
Ryan Loder

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-3-0 Robert Valentin · UFC
1-2-0 Ryan Loder · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-3-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
31
AgeΔ 4 yrs
35
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
77"
ReachΔ 1"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
0.2
Layoff (months)Δ 8.2 mo
8.4
WWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Robert Valentin is a submission threat — 2.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Ryan Loder is a submission threat — 1.37 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Ryan Loder owns the mat — in control 45% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Robert Valentin

Full career not yet synced for Robert Valentin — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Ryan Loder

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 258
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.52 · 25 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 40 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

341.15/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
565.10/min · norm 3.25
702.37/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
272.46/min · norm 3.20
54.8%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
69.1%norm 47.4%
32.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
50.0%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Robert Valentin

Distance 67.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 22.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 9.7% (norm 10.3%)

Ryan Loder

Distance 28.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 61.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Robert Valentin

Head 72.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.7% (norm 8.4%)

Ryan Loder

Head 86.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Valentin L/AAccMiddleweight med Loder L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 16 / 42 38.1% 40.5% 8 / 23 too few to rate 40.5%
In the clinch 12 / 14 too few to rate 70.3% 7 / 8 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 6 / 6 too few to rate 69.1% 41 / 50 82.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 21 / 45 46.7% 38.9% 48 / 70 68.6% 38.9%
To the body 7 / 11 too few to rate 71.7% 8 / 11 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 6 / 6 too few to rate 83.3% 0 / 0 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Valentin L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Loder L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 23 / 46 50.0% 39.5% 21 / 39 53.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 1 / 2 too few to rate 70.9% 5 / 11 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 46 / 56 82.1% 69.0% 1 / 4 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 60 / 93 64.5% 37.9% 24 / 49 49.0% 37.9%
To the body 8 / 9 too few to rate 71.3% 3 / 5 too few to rate 71.3%
To the legs 2 / 2 too few to rate 82.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

266.7% acc · 1.01/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
114.3% acc · 1.37/15 · norm 1.42
1252.2% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2100.0% def · norm 63.1%
6:1321.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
4:5845.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
19:029:39 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
2:443:43 per 15 · norm 3:00
52.54/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
11.37/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Valentin has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.