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Robbie Lawler vs. Colby Covington

UFC 15-10-0 vs. 12-5-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-10-0
UFC record
12-5-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44
AgeΔ 6 yrs
38
5'11"
HeightΔ 0"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
39.4
Layoff (months)Δ 17.2 mo
22.2
WLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Colby Covington hunts takedowns — 3.64 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Colby Covington owns the mat — in control 43% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Robbie Lawler absorbs 5.18 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.08 Welterweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Robbie Lawler

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1510
Tier 3 — regional circuit 156

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.83 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 23 finish wins over 47 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.1 wins over .500

Colby Covington

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 125
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.42 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

13344.19/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
10993.81/min · norm 3.17
16505.18/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
8903.09/min · norm 3.08
48.3%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
38.5%norm 44.75%
58.3%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
54.8%norm 55.25%
100.47/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.05/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Robbie Lawler

Distance 78.8% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 14.6% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 8.1%)

Colby Covington

Distance 88.7% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 5.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Robbie Lawler

Head 85.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.4% (norm 8.0%)

Colby Covington

Head 83.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lawler L/AAccWelterweight med Covington L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 927 / 2176 42.6% 38.5% 876 / 2533 34.6% 38.5%
In the clinch 288 / 403 71.5% 67.8% 107 / 159 67.3% 67.8%
On the ground 119 / 181 65.7% 67.0% 116 / 164 70.7% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1012 / 2371 42.7% 36.4% 763 / 2396 31.8% 36.4%
To the body 265 / 323 82.0% 70.7% 174 / 265 65.7% 70.7%
To the legs 57 / 66 86.4% 83.0% 162 / 195 83.1% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lawler L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Covington L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1319 / 3467 38.0% 39.1% 740 / 1790 41.3% 39.1%
In the clinch 293 / 437 67.0% 68.9% 95 / 112 84.8% 68.9%
On the ground 38 / 53 71.7% 68.0% 55 / 66 83.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1049 / 3155 33.2% 35.6% 578 / 1561 37.0% 35.6%
To the body 332 / 468 70.9% 69.6% 209 / 290 72.1% 69.6%
To the legs 269 / 334 80.5% 82.2% 103 / 117 88.0% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1773.9% acc · 0.80/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
7042.7% acc · 3.64/15 · norm 1.31
7064.8% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2069.0% def · norm 63.9%
32:0910.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
125:0443.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
56:212:39 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
9:010:28 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
30.16/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lawler has more cage time on record.