BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rob MacDonald vs.
Jason Lambert

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Rob MacDonald · UFC
4-4-0 Jason Lambert · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
4-4-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
47
AgeΔ 4 yrs
51
6'3"
HeightΔ 0"
6'3"
78"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
239.3
Layoff (months)Δ 24.4 mo
214.9
LWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rob MacDonald is a submission threat — 5.39 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Jason Lambert is a submission threat — 2.36 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Rob MacDonald hunts takedowns — 7.19 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rob MacDonald

Full career not yet synced for Rob MacDonald — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Jason Lambert

Full career not yet synced for Jason Lambert — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

151.80/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
1433.21/min · norm 3.41
172.04/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
821.84/min · norm 3.35
50.0%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
58.1%norm 48.3%
46.9%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
50.9%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
31.01/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rob MacDonald

Distance 40.0% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 16.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 43.3% (norm 10.4%)

Jason Lambert

Distance 23.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 24.8% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 52.0% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rob MacDonald

Head 93.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 0.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 9.7%)

Jason Lambert

Head 76.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone MacDonald L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Lambert L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 4 / 12 too few to rate 41.4% 14 / 57 24.6% 41.4%
In the clinch 2 / 5 too few to rate 70.9% 48 / 61 78.7% 70.9%
On the ground 9 / 13 too few to rate 72.3% 81 / 128 63.3% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 13 / 28 46.4% 38.9% 89 / 188 47.3% 38.9%
To the body 0 / 0 too few to rate 71.9% 39 / 42 92.9% 71.9%
To the legs 2 / 2 too few to rate 81.8% 15 / 16 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs MacDonald L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Lambert L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 8 / 18 too few to rate 40.4% 22 / 66 33.3% 40.4%
In the clinch 6 / 10 too few to rate 68.7% 26 / 50 52.0% 68.7%
On the ground 3 / 4 too few to rate 70.4% 34 / 51 66.7% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 8 / 21 too few to rate 37.5% 60 / 136 44.1% 37.5%
To the body 2 / 3 too few to rate 72.3% 12 / 20 too few to rate 72.3%
To the legs 7 / 8 too few to rate 83.0% 10 / 11 too few to rate 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

480.0% acc · 7.19/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
436.4% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 0.87
480.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
628.6% def · norm 66.7%
3:0837.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
15:4035.2% of cage time · norm 16.5%
2:294:27 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
21:527:21 per 15 · norm 2:48
35.39/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
72.36/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lambert has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.