BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Roan Carneiro vs.
Tony DeSouza

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-5-0 Roan Carneiro · UFC
3-3-0 Tony DeSouza · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-5-0
UFC record
3-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
48.2
AgeΔ 3.8 yrs
52
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
76"
ReachΔ 6"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
113.8
Layoff (months)Δ 109.4 mo
223.2
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Roan Carneiro is a submission threat — 1.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Tony DeSouza is a submission threat — 1.50 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Roan Carneiro hunts takedowns — 3.08 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Roan Carneiro

Full career not yet synced for Roan Carneiro — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Tony DeSouza

Full career not yet synced for Tony DeSouza — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1331.51/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
451.12/min · norm 3.17
1471.67/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
631.57/min · norm 3.06
48.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
52.3%norm 44.9%
65.3%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
41.7%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Roan Carneiro

Distance 60.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 28.2% (norm 8.1%)

Tony DeSouza

Distance 30.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 57.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Roan Carneiro

Head 85.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.4%)

Tony DeSouza

Head 91.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 1.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Carneiro L/AAccWelterweight med DeSouza L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 61 / 168 36.3% 38.6% 2 / 26 7.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 25 / 31 80.6% 67.8% 9 / 11 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 47 / 78 60.3% 67.2% 34 / 49 69.4% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 98 / 236 41.5% 37.2% 39 / 79 49.4% 37.2%
To the body 18 / 24 too few to rate 70.7% 5 / 6 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 17 / 17 too few to rate 82.9% 1 / 1 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Carneiro L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs DeSouza L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 61 / 267 22.8% 39.0% 20 / 45 44.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 24 / 35 68.6% 68.9% 4 / 6 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 62 / 122 50.8% 68.0% 39 / 57 68.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 89 / 342 26.0% 35.6% 51 / 95 53.7% 35.6%
To the body 33 / 50 66.0% 69.6% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 25 / 32 78.1% 82.1% 12 / 13 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1847.4% acc · 3.08/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
642.9% acc · 2.25/15 · norm 1.27
583.3% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
240.0% def · norm 63.9%
38:0043.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
16:5042.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
21:153:37 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
11:504:26 per 15 · norm 3:15
91.54/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
41.50/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Carneiro has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.