BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Roan Carneiro vs.
Kenny Robertson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-5-0 Roan Carneiro · UFC
4-5-0 Kenny Robertson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-5-0
UFC record
4-5-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
48.2
AgeΔ 5.7 yrs
42.5
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
76"
ReachΔ 2"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
113.7
Layoff (months)Δ 4.9 mo
118.6
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Roan Carneiro is a submission threat — 1.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Roan Carneiro hunts takedowns — 3.08 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Kenny Robertson is a submission threat — 0.85 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Roan Carneiro

Full career not yet synced for Roan Carneiro — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Kenny Robertson

Full career not yet synced for Kenny Robertson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1331.51/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3273.72/min · norm 3.17
1471.67/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2653.02/min · norm 3.06
48.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
47.1%norm 44.9%
65.3%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
52.3%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.34/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Roan Carneiro

Distance 60.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 28.2% (norm 8.1%)

Kenny Robertson

Distance 70.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 15.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Roan Carneiro

Head 85.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.4%)

Kenny Robertson

Head 79.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Carneiro L/AAccWelterweight med Robertson L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 61 / 168 36.3% 38.6% 193 / 491 39.3% 38.6%
In the clinch 25 / 31 80.6% 67.8% 65 / 95 68.4% 67.8%
On the ground 47 / 78 60.3% 67.2% 69 / 109 63.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 98 / 236 41.5% 37.2% 206 / 549 37.5% 37.2%
To the body 18 / 24 too few to rate 70.7% 51 / 70 72.9% 70.7%
To the legs 17 / 17 too few to rate 82.9% 70 / 76 92.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Carneiro L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Robertson L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 61 / 267 22.8% 39.0% 163 / 414 39.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 24 / 35 68.6% 68.9% 53 / 75 70.7% 68.9%
On the ground 62 / 122 50.8% 68.0% 49 / 67 73.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 89 / 342 26.0% 35.6% 178 / 443 40.2% 35.6%
To the body 33 / 50 66.0% 69.6% 62 / 88 70.5% 69.6%
To the legs 25 / 32 78.1% 82.1% 25 / 25 100.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1847.4% acc · 3.08/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
826.7% acc · 1.37/15 · norm 1.27
583.3% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1657.1% def · norm 63.9%
38:0043.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
30:3534.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
21:153:37 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
20:083:26 per 15 · norm 3:15
91.54/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
50.85/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Carneiro has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.