Roan Carneiro vs. Derek Brunson
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Roan Carneiro
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 4 | 5 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 14 | 8 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.29 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 31 documented bouts
In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500
Derek Brunson
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 15 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 9 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 33 documented bouts
In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Roan Carneiro
Distance 60.6% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 11.2% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 28.2% (norm 8.1%)
Derek Brunson
Distance 72.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 10.4% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 10.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Roan Carneiro
Head 85.2% (norm 78.3%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.0%)
Derek Brunson
Head 79.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.3% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Carneiro L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Brunson L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 61 / 168 | 36.3% | 38.5% | 405 / 1004 | 40.3% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 25 / 31 | 80.6% | 67.8% | 96 / 145 | 66.2% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 47 / 78 | 60.3% | 67.0% | 147 / 242 | 60.7% | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 98 / 236 | 41.5% | 36.4% | 457 / 1112 | 41.1% | 38.8% |
| To the body | 18 / 24 | too few to rate | 70.7% | 99 / 149 | 66.4% | 71.6% |
| To the legs | 17 / 17 | too few to rate | 83.0% | 92 / 130 | 70.8% | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Carneiro L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Brunson L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 61 / 267 | 22.8% | 39.1% | 423 / 973 | 43.5% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 24 / 35 | 68.6% | 68.9% | 91 / 123 | 74.0% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 62 / 122 | 50.8% | 68.0% | 59 / 71 | 83.1% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 89 / 342 | 26.0% | 35.6% | 341 / 848 | 40.2% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 33 / 50 | 66.0% | 69.6% | 151 / 198 | 76.3% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 25 / 32 | 78.1% | 82.2% | 81 / 121 | 66.9% | 82.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Brunson has more cage time on record.