BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rinya Nakamura vs.
Nathan Fletcher

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-1-0 Rinya Nakamura · UFC
1-2-0 Nathan Fletcher · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-1-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
31.4
AgeΔ 2.8 yrs
28.6
5'7"
HeightΔ 0"
5'7"
68"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
12.1
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
12.1
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rinya Nakamura is a submission threat — 1.29 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Rinya Nakamura carries real power — 0.97 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Nathan Fletcher hunts takedowns — 3.37 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rinya Nakamura

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 41
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.64 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 11 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.6 wins over .500

Nathan Fletcher

Full career not yet synced for Nathan Fletcher — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1282.75/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
763.41/min · norm 3.52
711.52/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
482.16/min · norm 3.58
52.5%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
59.8%norm 43.4%
64.1%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
57.5%norm 56.6%
30.97/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rinya Nakamura

Distance 66.4% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 1.6% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 32.0% (norm 6.5%)

Nathan Fletcher

Distance 55.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 31.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rinya Nakamura

Head 71.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 15.2% (norm 8.4%)

Nathan Fletcher

Head 77.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nakamura L/AAccBantamweight med Fletcher L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 78 / 162 48.1% 39.0% 34 / 71 47.9% 39.0%
In the clinch 4 / 4 too few to rate 68.7% 33 / 40 82.5% 68.7%
On the ground 46 / 78 59.0% 70.2% 9 / 16 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 73 / 174 42.0% 34.9% 54 / 98 55.1% 34.9%
To the body 28 / 33 84.8% 66.8% 13 / 17 too few to rate 66.8%
To the legs 27 / 37 73.0% 79.4% 9 / 12 too few to rate 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nakamura L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Fletcher L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 58 / 171 33.9% 39.3% 34 / 95 35.8% 39.3%
In the clinch 5 / 10 too few to rate 70.4% 10 / 14 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 8 / 17 too few to rate 72.4% 4 / 4 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 40 / 148 27.0% 34.9% 33 / 88 37.5% 34.9%
To the body 15 / 22 too few to rate 66.0% 12 / 19 too few to rate 66.0%
To the legs 16 / 28 57.1% 79.1% 3 / 6 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

787.5% acc · 2.25/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
538.5% acc · 3.37/15 · norm 1.12
1100.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
650.0% def · norm 66.7%
24:1552.1% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
7:2433.2% of cage time · norm 17.4%
2:370:50 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
7:515:17 per 15 · norm 2:24
41.29/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.67/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nakamura has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.