BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rinat Fakhretdinov vs.
Carlos Leal

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-0-1 Rinat Fakhretdinov · UFC
2-2-0 Carlos Leal · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-0-1
UFC record
2-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
34.9
AgeΔ 2.6 yrs
32.3
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
74"
ReachΔ 0"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
11
Layoff (months)Δ 5.5 mo
5.5
WWWDW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rinat Fakhretdinov hunts takedowns — 3.91 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Rinat Fakhretdinov owns the mat — in control 54% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Carlos Leal outworks the Welterweight division — 8.75 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 60
Tier 3 — regional circuit 171

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.52 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Carlos Leal

Full career not yet synced for Carlos Leal — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3865.02/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3068.75/min · norm 3.17
2773.61/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2727.78/min · norm 3.06
52.9%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
47.0%norm 44.9%
54.4%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
48.8%norm 55.25%
30.59/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Distance 73.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 8.1%)

Carlos Leal

Distance 92.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Head 81.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 8.5% (norm 8.4%)

Carlos Leal

Head 81.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Fakhretdinov L/AAccWelterweight med Leal L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 254 / 539 47.1% 38.6% 265 / 601 44.1% 38.6%
In the clinch 67 / 94 71.3% 67.8% 41 / 50 82.0% 67.8%
On the ground 65 / 97 67.0% 67.2% 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 275 / 594 46.3% 37.2% 197 / 531 37.1% 37.2%
To the body 53 / 74 71.6% 70.7% 73 / 84 86.9% 70.7%
To the legs 58 / 62 93.5% 82.9% 36 / 36 100.0% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Fakhretdinov L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Leal L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 208 / 519 40.1% 39.0% 239 / 480 49.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 51 / 67 76.1% 68.9% 32 / 49 65.3% 68.9%
On the ground 18 / 22 too few to rate 68.0% 1 / 2 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 170 / 475 35.8% 35.6% 160 / 380 42.1% 35.6%
To the body 65 / 89 73.0% 69.6% 59 / 96 61.5% 69.6%
To the legs 42 / 44 95.5% 82.1% 53 / 55 96.4% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2034.5% acc · 3.91/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
111.1% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.27
1191.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2090.9% def · norm 63.9%
41:3154.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
2:367.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
6:131:12 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
3:401:34 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.20/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Fakhretdinov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.