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Rick Story vs. Leonardo Mafra

UFC 12-7-0 vs. 1-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
12-7-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
42
AgeΔ 5 yrs
37
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
122
Layoff (months)Δ 13.1 mo
135.1
LWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Rick Story is a submission threat — 0.89 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Rick Story hunts takedowns — 2.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Leonardo Mafra hunts takedowns — 2.12 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.34 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Rick Story

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 148
Tier 3 — regional circuit 72

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.07 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Leonardo Mafra

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 13
Tier 3 — regional circuit 144

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.37 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9013.80/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
1614.55/min · norm 3.44
5152.17/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1554.38/min · norm 3.38
41.8%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
48.5%norm 43.65%
62.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
43.6%norm 56.3%
60.38/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rick Story

Distance 74.4% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 14.5% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 8.1%)

Leonardo Mafra

Distance 86.1% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 7.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rick Story

Head 73.5% (norm 78.3%) · Body 20.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 8.0%)

Leonardo Mafra

Head 74.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 14.2% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Story L/AAccWelterweight med Mafra L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 548 / 1606 34.1% 38.5% 129 / 286 45.1% 38.3%
In the clinch 201 / 312 64.4% 67.8% 14 / 21 too few to rate 67.5%
On the ground 152 / 240 63.3% 67.0% 18 / 25 72.0% 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 465 / 1586 29.3% 36.4% 97 / 246 39.4% 35.1%
To the body 312 / 432 72.2% 70.7% 24 / 39 61.5% 69.1%
To the legs 124 / 140 88.6% 83.0% 40 / 47 85.1% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Story L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Mafra L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 395 / 1173 33.7% 39.1% 102 / 203 50.2% 38.8%
In the clinch 94 / 165 57.0% 68.9% 7 / 12 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 26 / 36 72.2% 68.0% 46 / 60 76.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 336 / 1118 30.1% 35.6% 115 / 213 54.0% 35.2%
To the body 108 / 168 64.3% 69.6% 32 / 51 62.7% 68.2%
To the legs 71 / 88 80.7% 82.2% 8 / 11 too few to rate 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
4048.2% acc · 2.53/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
583.3% acc · 2.12/15 · norm 1.34
4863.2% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
969.2% def · norm 63.7%
74:5431.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
6:5119.4% of cage time · norm 18.95%
39:212:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
11:414:57 per 15 · norm 2:50
140.89/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
10.42/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Story has more cage time on record.