BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rich Clementi vs.
Roan Carneiro

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-5-0 Rich Clementi · UFC
4-5-0 Roan Carneiro · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-5-0
UFC record
4-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
50.3
AgeΔ 2.1 yrs
48.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
72"
ReachΔ 4"
76"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
209.9
Layoff (months)Δ 96.1 mo
113.8
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Roan Carneiro is a submission threat — 1.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Roan Carneiro hunts takedowns — 3.08 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Rich Clementi is a submission threat — 1.10 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rich Clementi

Full career not yet synced for Rich Clementi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Roan Carneiro

Full career not yet synced for Roan Carneiro — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1711.56/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1331.51/min · norm 3.17
2562.34/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1471.67/min · norm 3.06
37.3%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
48.0%norm 44.9%
62.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
65.3%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rich Clementi

Distance 81.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 11.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.0% (norm 8.0%)

Roan Carneiro

Distance 60.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 28.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rich Clementi

Head 79.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.1% (norm 7.9%)

Roan Carneiro

Head 85.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Clementi L/AAccLightweight med Carneiro L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 117 / 375 31.2% 37.9% 61 / 168 36.3% 38.6%
In the clinch 31 / 52 59.6% 67.3% 25 / 31 80.6% 67.8%
On the ground 23 / 32 71.9% 69.1% 47 / 78 60.3% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 95 / 364 26.1% 35.0% 98 / 236 41.5% 37.2%
To the body 27 / 35 77.1% 69.1% 18 / 24 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 49 / 60 81.7% 81.9% 17 / 17 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Clementi L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Carneiro L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 164 / 541 30.3% 38.9% 61 / 267 22.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 58 / 80 72.5% 68.6% 24 / 35 68.6% 68.9%
On the ground 34 / 66 51.5% 68.0% 62 / 122 50.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 153 / 565 27.1% 35.1% 89 / 342 26.0% 35.6%
To the body 49 / 63 77.8% 68.1% 33 / 50 66.0% 69.6%
To the legs 54 / 59 91.5% 81.5% 25 / 32 78.1% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1442.4% acc · 1.92/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1847.4% acc · 3.08/15 · norm 1.27
626.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
583.3% def · norm 63.9%
24:5822.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
38:0043.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
34:304:43 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
21:153:37 per 15 · norm 3:15
81.10/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
91.54/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Clementi has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.