BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Rich Attonito vs.
Rafael Natal

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-2-0 Rich Attonito · UFC
9-7-1 Rafael Natal · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-2-0
UFC record
9-7-1
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
49.1
AgeΔ 5.5 yrs
43.6
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
72"
ReachΔ 5"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
175.9
Layoff (months)Δ 67.4 mo
108.5
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Rafael Natal hunts takedowns — 2.55 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Rich Attonito carries real power — 0.50 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Rich Attonito rarely shoots — 0.74 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Rich Attonito

Full career not yet synced for Rich Attonito — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Rafael Natal

Full career not yet synced for Rafael Natal — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1382.28/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
6563.10/min · norm 3.25
1292.13/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
5242.48/min · norm 3.20
47.9%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
47.9%norm 47.4%
59.2%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.6%norm 53.8%
20.50/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
50.35/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Rich Attonito

Distance 58.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 34.4% (norm 10.3%)

Rafael Natal

Distance 76.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Rich Attonito

Head 80.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Rafael Natal

Head 71.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 12.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 16.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Attonito L/AAccMiddleweight med Natal L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 61 / 169 36.1% 40.5% 432 / 1049 41.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 12 / 20 too few to rate 70.3% 79 / 111 71.2% 70.3%
On the ground 65 / 99 65.7% 69.1% 145 / 210 69.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 91 / 233 39.1% 38.9% 379 / 976 38.8% 38.9%
To the body 25 / 31 80.6% 71.7% 93 / 171 54.4% 71.7%
To the legs 22 / 24 too few to rate 83.3% 184 / 223 82.5% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Attonito L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Natal L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 74 / 251 29.5% 39.5% 369 / 1016 36.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 25 / 28 89.3% 70.9% 58 / 89 65.2% 70.9%
On the ground 30 / 37 81.1% 69.0% 97 / 131 74.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 69 / 223 30.9% 37.9% 315 / 950 33.2% 37.9%
To the body 26 / 52 50.0% 71.3% 73 / 117 62.4% 71.3%
To the legs 34 / 41 82.9% 82.1% 136 / 169 80.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

337.5% acc · 0.74/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
3634.3% acc · 2.55/15 · norm 1.42
2175.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2777.1% def · norm 63.1%
15:2925.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
53:3925.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
15:273:49 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
30:472:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
70.50/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Natal has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.