BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Renato Sobral vs.
David Heath

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-4-0 Renato Sobral · UFC
2-3-0 David Heath · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-4-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
50.9
AgeΔ 0.4 yrs
50.5
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
75"
ReachΔ 3"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
227.4
Layoff (months)Δ 5.3 mo
222.1
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Renato Sobral is a submission threat — 3.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
David Heath is a submission threat — 0.98 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Renato Sobral hunts takedowns — 2.97 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Renato Sobral

Full career not yet synced for Renato Sobral — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

David Heath

Full career not yet synced for David Heath — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1622.01/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
681.48/min · norm 3.41
1011.25/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
2375.16/min · norm 3.35
52.3%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
30.1%norm 48.3%
50.7%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
49.3%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Renato Sobral

Distance 29.0% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 61.0% (norm 10.4%)

David Heath

Distance 86.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 6.2% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Renato Sobral

Head 79.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 9.7%)

David Heath

Head 81.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 9.3% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Sobral L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Heath L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 37 / 90 41.1% 41.4% 51 / 196 26.0% 41.4%
In the clinch 20 / 31 64.5% 70.9% 8 / 16 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 105 / 189 55.6% 72.3% 9 / 14 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 110 / 246 44.7% 38.9% 41 / 184 22.3% 38.9%
To the body 25 / 33 75.8% 71.9% 12 / 21 too few to rate 71.9%
To the legs 27 / 31 87.1% 81.8% 15 / 21 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Sobral L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Heath L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 39 / 95 41.1% 40.4% 114 / 285 40.0% 40.4%
In the clinch 11 / 16 too few to rate 68.7% 39 / 53 73.6% 68.7%
On the ground 51 / 94 54.3% 70.4% 84 / 129 65.1% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 82 / 181 45.3% 37.5% 151 / 368 41.0% 37.5%
To the body 12 / 16 too few to rate 72.3% 53 / 60 88.3% 72.3%
To the legs 7 / 8 too few to rate 83.0% 33 / 39 84.6% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1666.7% acc · 2.97/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
150.0% acc · 0.33/15 · norm 0.87
550.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
457.1% def · norm 66.7%
41:2651.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
4:4910.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
23:214:20 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
8:462:51 per 15 · norm 2:48
173.16/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
30.98/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sobral has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.