BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Renato Moicano vs.
Drew Dober

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

13-7-0 Renato Moicano · UFC
15-11-0 (1 NC) Drew Dober · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

13-7-0
UFC record
15-11-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
37.2
AgeΔ 0.6 yrs
37.8
5'11"
HeightΔ 3"
5'8"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
4.1
Layoff (months)Δ 0.9 mo
5
WLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Drew Dober rarely shoots — 0.61 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Renato Moicano

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 137
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.29 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7714.10/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
9944.48/min · norm 3.42
6683.55/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
9604.33/min · norm 3.37
49.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
41.0%norm 43.5%
59.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
53.1%norm 56.3%
20.16/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
100.68/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Renato Moicano

Distance 88.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.9% (norm 8.0%)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Renato Moicano

Head 82.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 10.0% (norm 7.9%)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Moicano L/AAccLightweight med Dober L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 636 / 1379 46.1% 37.9% 790 / 2128 37.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 25 / 33 75.8% 67.3% 111 / 170 65.3% 67.3%
On the ground 110 / 155 71.0% 69.1% 93 / 125 74.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 563 / 1296 43.4% 35.0% 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.0%
To the body 75 / 114 65.8% 69.1% 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1%
To the legs 133 / 157 84.7% 81.9% 141 / 175 80.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Moicano L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 556 / 1502 37.0% 38.9% 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 27 / 36 75.0% 68.6% 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6%
On the ground 85 / 119 71.4% 68.0% 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 419 / 1331 31.5% 35.1% 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.1%
To the body 123 / 176 69.9% 68.1% 197 / 279 70.6% 68.1%
To the legs 126 / 150 84.0% 81.5% 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2140.4% acc · 1.68/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.38
2764.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3958.2% def · norm 64.0%
41:1121.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
24:421:58 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
70.56/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.07/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.