BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Renan Barao vs.
Aljamain Sterling

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-8-0 Renan Barao · UFC
18-5-0 Aljamain Sterling · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-8-0
UFC record
18-5-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
39.5
AgeΔ 2.5 yrs
37
5'6"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
80.7
Layoff (months)Δ 77.3 mo
3.4
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aljamain Sterling is a submission threat — 0.64 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Aljamain Sterling hunts takedowns — 2.54 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Renan Barao hunts takedowns — 1.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Renan Barao

Full career not yet synced for Renan Barao — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Aljamain Sterling

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 185
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9223.92/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
14074.26/min · norm 3.52
9574.07/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
7102.15/min · norm 3.58
36.8%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
52.6%norm 43.4%
58.0%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
59.2%norm 56.6%
40.25/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Renan Barao

Distance 90.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 6.5%)

Aljamain Sterling

Distance 77.2% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.7% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Renan Barao

Head 75.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 15.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Aljamain Sterling

Head 64.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 23.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Barao L/AAccBantamweight med Sterling L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 772 / 2279 33.9% 39.0% 941 / 2066 45.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 107 / 160 66.9% 68.7% 209 / 270 77.4% 68.7%
On the ground 43 / 69 62.3% 70.2% 257 / 339 75.8% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 538 / 1893 28.4% 34.9% 703 / 1712 41.1% 34.9%
To the body 211 / 376 56.1% 66.8% 443 / 622 71.2% 66.8%
To the legs 173 / 239 72.4% 79.4% 261 / 341 76.5% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Barao L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Sterling L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 816 / 2086 39.1% 39.3% 567 / 1534 37.0% 39.3%
In the clinch 84 / 119 70.6% 70.4% 92 / 134 68.7% 70.4%
On the ground 57 / 74 77.0% 72.4% 51 / 71 71.8% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 654 / 1854 35.3% 34.9% 355 / 1230 28.9% 34.9%
To the body 178 / 270 65.9% 66.0% 190 / 302 62.9% 66.0%
To the legs 125 / 155 80.6% 79.1% 165 / 207 79.7% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2440.7% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
5632.2% acc · 2.54/15 · norm 1.12
3792.5% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2244.9% def · norm 66.7%
36:5915.7% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
109:3333.1% of cage time · norm 17.4%
28:001:47 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
56:062:32 per 15 · norm 2:24
50.32/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
140.64/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sterling has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.