BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Raulian Paiva vs.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Raulian Paiva · UFC
1-6-0 Zhalgas Zhumagulov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
1-6-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
30.8
AgeΔ 7.1 yrs
37.9
5'8"
HeightΔ 4"
5'4"
69"
ReachΔ 3"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
49.4
Layoff (months)Δ 12 mo
37.4
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Zhalgas Zhumagulov absorbs 5.86 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.24 Flyweight norm — hittable.
Raulian Paiva rarely shoots — 0.58 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov outworks the Flyweight division — 5.24 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.49 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Raulian Paiva

Full career not yet synced for Raulian Paiva — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Full career not yet synced for Zhalgas Zhumagulov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3013.89/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
4255.24/min · norm 3.49
3584.63/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
4755.86/min · norm 3.24
40.0%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
43.1%norm 44.6%
52.1%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
52.2%norm 56.4%
10.19/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Raulian Paiva

Distance 94.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 7.3%)

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Distance 96.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Raulian Paiva

Head 75.9% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 9.3%)

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Head 62.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 22.2% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 15.5% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Paiva L/AAccFlyweight med Zhumagulov L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 274 / 709 38.6% 40.0% 404 / 954 42.3% 40.0%
In the clinch 18 / 26 69.2% 70.4% 19 / 28 67.9% 70.4%
On the ground 9 / 17 too few to rate 69.7% 2 / 5 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 176 / 571 30.8% 37.6% 155 / 615 25.2% 37.6%
To the body 80 / 125 64.0% 68.5% 137 / 219 62.6% 68.5%
To the legs 45 / 56 80.4% 80.0% 133 / 153 86.9% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Paiva L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Zhumagulov L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 316 / 691 45.7% 40.1% 435 / 941 46.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 13 / 19 too few to rate 68.8% 36 / 47 76.6% 68.8%
On the ground 29 / 37 78.4% 71.1% 4 / 5 too few to rate 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 225 / 577 39.0% 35.2% 280 / 736 38.0% 35.2%
To the body 72 / 102 70.6% 68.2% 125 / 174 71.8% 68.2%
To the legs 61 / 68 89.7% 80.3% 70 / 83 84.3% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

318.8% acc · 0.58/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
719.4% acc · 1.30/15 · norm 1.30
3574.5% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
675.0% def · norm 62.5%
7:5410.2% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
8:5311.0% of cage time · norm 17.0%
9:501:54 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
5:361:02 per 15 · norm 2:44
10.19/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
10.19/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Paiva has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.